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<rss version="2.0"><channel><title>News: General News</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/page/315/?d=2</link><description>News: General News</description><language>en</language><item><title>The World's 'Happiest' Countries Harbor a Dark Side, Wellbeing Study Reveals</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/the-worlds-happiest-countries-harbor-a-dark-side-wellbeing-study-reveals-r4366/</link><description><![CDATA[<p>
	Have you looked at the international rankings of the world's happiest countries lately?
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<p>
	Measuring a country's subjective levels of happiness has become something of an international sport. People look with interest (and a little jealousy) to nations such as Denmark, which consistently tops the world's happiness rankings.
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<p>
	It has also led to Danish practices such as the "hygge" lifestyle gaining popularity elsewhere. If only we could add more coziness to our lives, perhaps we would be as happy as the Danish!
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<p>
	But is living in one of the world's happiest nations all it's cracked up to be? What happens if you struggle to find or maintain happiness in a sea of (supposedly) happy people?
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<p>
	In our new research, published in Scientific Reports, we found that in countries which rank the highest in national happiness, people are also more likely to experience poor wellbeing due to the societal pressure to be happy.
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	So living in happier countries may be good for many. But for some, it can end up feeling like too much to live up to, and have the opposite effect.
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<p>
	<strong>Broadening our search</strong>
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<p>
	<br />
	For several years, my colleagues and I have been researching the social pressure people may feel to experience positive emotions and avoid negative ones.
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<p>
	This pressure is also communicated to us through channels such as social media, self-help books and advertising. Eventually people develop a sense of what kinds of emotion are valued (or not valued) by those around them.
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<p>
	In an ironic twist, our past research has shown that the more people experience pressure to feel happy and not sad, the more they tend to experience depression.
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<p>
	While this previous research has mostly focused on people living in Australia or the United States, we were curious about how these effects might also be evident in other countries.
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<p>
	For our latest study we surveyed 7,443 people from 40 countries on their emotional wellbeing, satisfaction with life (cognitive wellbeing) and mood complaints (clinical wellbeing). We then weighed this against their perception of social pressure to feel positive.
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<p>
	What we found confirmed our previous findings. Worldwide, when people report feeling pressure to experience happiness and avoid sadness, they tend to experience deficits in mental health.
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	That is, they experience lower satisfaction with their lives, more negative emotion, less positive emotion and higher levels of depression, anxiety and stress.
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<p>
	Interestingly, our global sample allowed us to go beyond our prior work and examine whether there were differences in this relationship across countries. Are there some countries in which this relationship is especially strong? And if so, why might that be?
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<p>
	<strong>Not a uniform problem</strong>
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<p>
	<br />
	To investigate this, we obtained data for each of the 40 counties from the World Happiness Index, collected by the Gallup World Poll. This index is based on the subjective happiness ratings of large-scale nationally representative samples.
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<p>
	It allowed us to determine how the overall happiness of a nation, and therefore the social pressure on individuals to be happy, might influence individuals' wellbeing.
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<p>
	We found the relationship did indeed change, and was stronger in countries that ranked more highly on the World Happiness Index. That is, in countries such as Denmark, the social pressure some people felt to be happy was especially predictive of poor mental health.
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<p>
	That's not to say on average people are not happier in those countries – apparently they are – but that for those who already feel a great deal of pressure to keep their chin up, living in happier nations can lead to poorer wellbeing.
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<p>
	Why might this be the case? We reasoned that being surrounded by a sea of happy faces may aggravate the effects of already feeling socially pressured to be happy.
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<p>
	Of course, signs of others' happiness are not limited to the explicit expression of happiness, but are also evident in other more subtle cues, such as having more social contact or engaging in pleasurable activities. These signals tend to be stronger in happier countries, ratcheting up the effects of social expectations.
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<p>
	In these countries, feeling happy can easily be viewed as the expected norm. This adds to the social pressure people feel to adhere to this norm, and exacerbates the fallout for those who fail to achieve it.
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</p>

<p>
	<strong>What's the solution?</strong>
</p>

<p>
	<br />
	So what can we do? At a personal level, feeling and expressing happiness is a good thing. But as other research has found, it's sometimes good to be sensitive about how our expression of positive emotion may affect others.
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</p>

<p>
	While it's good to bring happiness and positivity to our interactions, it's also good to know when to tone it down – and avoid alienating those who may not share our joy in the moment.
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</p>

<p>
	More broadly, perhaps it's time to rethink how we measure national wellbeing. We already know that flourishing in life isn't just about positive emotion, but also about responding well to negative emotion, finding value in discomfort, and focusing on other factors such as meaning and interpersonal connection.
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</p>

<p>
	Perhaps it's time to rank countries not only by how happy they are, but how safe and open they are to the full range of human experiences.The Conversation
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</p>

<p>
	<em>Brock Bastian, Professor, Melbourne School of Psychological Sciences, <span style="color:#3498db;">The University of Melbourne</span>.</em>
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</p>

<p>
	<strong><a href="https://www.sciencealert.com/in-countries-that-focus-on-happiness-people-are-susceptible-to-the-happiness-paradox" rel="external nofollow">Source</a></strong>
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]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4366</guid><pubDate>Sat, 19 Feb 2022 17:05:07 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Study of Over 1 Million People Reveals Heart Attacks Can Reduce Parkinson's Risk</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/study-of-over-1-million-people-reveals-heart-attacks-can-reduce-parkinsons-risk-r4365/</link><description><![CDATA[<p>
	We know the devastating effects Parkinson's disease can have, but scientists are still trying to figure out how it gets started and how to cure it.
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<p>
	Some new research may have found helpful clues, linking having a heart attack with a lower risk of developing Parkinson's later.
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	The drop in risk is around 20 percent, based on an analysis of 181,994 patients in the Danish health system who suffered a heart attack between 1995 and 2016, compared with 909,970 control subjects, matched for age and sex and the year of their heart attack diagnosis.
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	What's more, the chance of developing parkinsonism – which brings on the same sort of movement difficulties and other symptoms as Parkinson's, though, in this study, isn't classed as Parkinson's itself – was found to be reduced by 28 percent as well. Researchers followed up with study participants for a maximum of 21 years.
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<p>
	"The risk of Parkinson's appears to be decreased in these patients, in comparison to the general population," says first author of the new paper, epidemiologist Jens Sundbøll from Aarhus University Hospital in Denmark.
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<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	It's the first time research has looked at Parkinson's disease risk in heart attack survivors, and it's still early days for figuring out why the risk is lowered. Both heart attacks and Parkinson's have a complex set of risk factors, and it's possible that the answer to this relationship lies somewhere in them.
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<p>
	Certain classic risk factors for heart attacks – including smoking, high cholesterol, high blood pressure, and type 2 diabetes – have previously been associated with a lower risk of developing Parkinson's disease, so these links may be driving the results seen in the new study.
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<p>
	However, other risk factors are the same. Heart attacks and Parkinson's are more likely in the elderly and less likely in people who drink more coffee and are more physically active.
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</p>

<p>
	The new study gives doctors more guidance on where to focus their attention on people recovering from a heart attack.
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<p>
	"For physicians treating patients following a heart attack, these results indicate that cardiac rehabilitation should be focused on preventing ischemic stroke, vascular dementia, and other cardiovascular diseases such as a new heart attack and heart failure," says Sundbøll.
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	It would seem, however, that a reduced risk of Parkinson's disease and parkinsonism is one of the results of a heart attack. Further studies are needed to make sure, especially in more diverse racial and ethnic groups (though this research used a large sample, they were predominantly white).
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<p>
	Future research also needs to consider the impact of smoking and high cholesterol levels on the relationship between heart attack survivors and a reduced risk of Parkinson's, which wasn't closely looked at in this study.
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</p>

<p>
	"We have previously found that following a heart attack, the risk of neurovascular complications such as ischemic stroke [clot-caused stroke] or vascular dementia is markedly increased, so the finding of a lower risk of Parkinson's disease was somewhat surprising," says Sundbøll.
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</p>

<p>
	The research has been published in the <span style="color:#3498db;"><em>Journal of the American Heart Association</em></span>.
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</p>

<p>
	<strong><a href="https://www.sciencealert.com/having-a-heart-attack-somehow-lowers-the-risk-of-developing-parkinson-s" rel="external nofollow">Source</a></strong>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4365</guid><pubDate>Sat, 19 Feb 2022 17:00:26 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Exercise boosts the brain - and mental health</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/exercise-boosts-the-brain-and-mental-health-r4364/</link><description><![CDATA[<p>
	Mental health disorders such as depression and anxiety aren't easy to treat. Medications help many but have a high failure rate and may bring nasty side effects. Talk therapy is time-consuming and expensive. And neither approach is suited to preventing the disorders from developing in the first place.
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<p>
	But many people overlook another option that, when it works, can be one of the most effective, least disruptive and cheapest ways of managing mental health disorders: exercise.
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<p>
	 
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<p>
	It's hardly news that exercise is good for your physical health, and has long been extolled as beneficial for mental health, as well. But researchers are now making progress in understanding how exercise works its mental magic.
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<p>
	 
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<p>
	Exercise, they are learning, has profound effects on the brain's structure itself, and it also provides other, more subtle benefits such as focus, a sense of accomplishment and sometimes social stimulation - all of which are therapeutic in their own right. And while more is generally better, even modest levels of physical activity, such as a daily walk, can pay big dividends for mental health.
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<p>
	"It's a very potent intervention to be physically active," says Anders Hovland, a clinical psychologist at the University of Bergen in Norway.
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<p>
	But that knowledge has barely begun to percolate into practice, says Joseph Firth, a mental health researcher at the University of Manchester in the United Kingdom. Just ask a hundred people receiving mental health care how many are getting exercise prescriptions as part of that care. "You wouldn't find many," Firth says.
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<p>
	Some of the strongest evidence for the mental benefits of exercise centers on depression. In 2016, Hovland and his colleagues searched the published literature and identified 23 clinical trials that tested the effectiveness of exercise in treating depression. Exercise was clearly effective and, in a few studies, on par with antidepressant drugs, the researchers concluded.
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<p>
	And exercise offers several advantages. For one thing, antidepressant medications generally take several weeks to show their full effect. Exercise can improve mood almost immediately, making it a valuable supplement to front-line treatments such as drugs or therapy, says Brett Gordon, an exercise psychology researcher at the Penn State College of Medicine. Plus, he says, exercise can counteract some of the unpleasant side effects of antidepressants, such as weight gain.
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<p>
	In addition, exercise has few of the negative side effects common with drugs. "Many people who have mental health concerns are not enthusiastic about starting a medication for the rest of their lives, and are interested in pursuing other options. Exercise might be one of those options," says Jacob Meyer, an exercise psychologist at Iowa State University.
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	There's now emerging evidence that exercise also seems to help in treating or avoiding anxiety disorders, including post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and possibly other serious psychotic conditions, as well. "The more we do these studies, the more we see that exercise can be valuable," Firth says.
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<p>
	 
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<p>
	But researchers are still figuring out how muscular exertion acts on the brain to improve mental health. For most biomedical questions like this, the first stop is animal experiments, but they aren't as useful in studies of mental health issues.
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<p>
	"Psychological health is so uniquely human that it can be hard to make a good jump from animal models," Meyer says.
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<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	Scientists have some ideas how exercise enhances mental health, says Patrick J. Smith, a psychologist and biostatistician at Duke University Medical Center in North Carolina, who wrote about the subject in the 2021 Annual Review of Medicine with Duke colleague Rhonda M. Merwin.
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<p>
	It doesn't seem to have much to do with cardiovascular fitness or muscular strength - the most obvious benefits of exercise. Something else must be going on that's more important than mere fitness, Smith says.
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<p>
	One possibility is that exercise buffs up the brain as well as the body. Physical exercise triggers the release of a protein known as brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF). BDNF encourages the growth of new brain cells - including, possibly, in the hippocampus, a brain region important in memory and learning. Since the hippocampus tends to be smaller or distorted in people with depression, anxiety and schizophrenia, boosting BDNF through exercise may be one way physical activity might help manage these conditions.
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<p>
	Sure enough, studies show that people with depression have lower levels of BDNF - and, notably, one effect of some antidepressants is to increase production of that molecule. Researchers have not yet shown directly that the exercise-associated increase in BDNF is what reduces depressive symptoms, but it's a promising possibility, Hovland says.
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<p>
	Exercise may also help anxiety disorders. The brain changes prompted by BDNF appear to enhance learning, an important part of some anti-anxiety therapies - so it's possible that exercise may improve the effectiveness of such therapies. One PTSD therapy, for example, involves exposing patients to the fear-causing stimulus in a safe environment, so that the patients learn to recalibrate their reactions to trauma-linked cues - and the better they learn, the more durable this response might be.
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<p>
	Kevin Crombie, an exercise neuroscientist at the University of Texas at Austin, and colleagues tested this idea with 35 women with PTSD. After being taught to associate a particular geometric shape with a mild electric shock, the volunteers repeatedly saw the same shape without the shock to learn that the stimulus was now safe. A few minutes later, half the volunteers did 30 minutes of jogging or uphill walking on a treadmill, while the other half did only light movement.
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<p>
	The following day, those who had exercised were less likely to anticipate a shock when they saw the "trigger" shape, Crombie found - a sign that they had learned to no longer associate the trigger with danger. Volunteers who showed the greatest exercise-induced increases in BDNF also did best at this relearning.
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<p>
	Exercise also stimulates the release of endocannabinoids, molecules important in modifying connections between brain cells. This may provide another way of enhancing the learning that underlies successful treatment for depression, PTSD and other mental disorders.
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<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	Physical activity also moderates the body's response to stress and reduces inflammation, plausibly helping people with mental illness. "We have just scratched the surface," Hovland says.
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<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	Changing the structure of the brain isn't the only way physical activity can be beneficial for mental health. The habit of exercise itself can help, Smith says.
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<p>
	For people with mental health issues, simply doing something - anything - can occupy their attention and keep them from ruminating on their condition. One survey of the published literature found that placebo exercise - that is, gentle stretching, too mild to cause any physiological effect - had almost half the beneficial effect on mental health as strenuous exercise did.
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<p>
	Regular workouts also give exercisers a clear sense of progress as their strength and fitness improves. This sense of accomplishment can help offset some of the burden of anxiety and depression, Gordon says.
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</p>

<p>
	Even light activity - basically just moving around now and then during the day instead of sitting for hours at a time - may help.
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<p>
	In one study of more than 4,000 adolescents in the U.K., Aaron Kandola, a psychiatric epidemiologist at the University College London, and his colleagues found that youths who undertook more light activity during the day had a lower risk of depressive symptoms than those who spent more time sitting.
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<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	Exercise has powerful benefits for people with mental illness that go beyond its effects on the illnesses themselves. Many struggle with related issues such as social withdrawal and a reduced capacity for pleasure, Firth says. Standard medications reduce some symptoms but do nothing to address these other problems. Exercise - especially as part of a group - can help boost their mood and enrich their lives.
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<p>
	Even more important, people with serious mental illnesses such as severe depression and schizophrenia also are more likely to have significant physical health issues such as obesity, heart disease and other chronic diseases. As a result, their life expectancy is 10 to 25 years lower than that of unaffected people.
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<p>
	"Reducing those health risks is really paramount at the moment," Kandola says. "That's the big appeal of exercise: We already know it can improve physical health. If it does have mental health benefits as well, it can be quite an important addition to treatment."
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<p>
	<strong><a href="https://www.greenwichtime.com/news/article/Exercise-boosts-the-brain-and-mental-health-16931993.php" rel="external nofollow">Source</a></strong>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4364</guid><pubDate>Sat, 19 Feb 2022 16:56:07 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Omicron subvariant BA.2 continues global rise as experts assess mixed data</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/omicron-subvariant-ba2-continues-global-rise-as-experts-assess-mixed-data-r4359/</link><description><![CDATA[<p>
	<span style="font-size:16px;"><strong>Lab studies suggest higher pathogenicity, but so far, real-world data on severity doesn't.</strong></span>
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		A sub-lineage of the omicron coronavirus variant, dubbed BA.2, continues to increase steadily around the globe as scientists and health officials are still working to understand the risk it poses to public health.
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	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		So far, the overall data has been a mix. Some recent laboratory and animal data have suggested that BA.2 can cause more severe disease than the original omicron variant, BA.1. But, so far, that finding isn't bearing out in real-world data. Countries where BA.2 is dominant are not seeing higher rates of severe disease. And, many places seeing BA.2 increasing are also seeing cases decline, along with hospitalizations.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
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	<p>
		While animal experiments have hinted that BA.2 interacts differently to some immune responses than the original omicron variant, so far real-world vaccine data finds two doses and booster doses are just as effective—if not slightly more effective—against BA.2 than BA.1.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		There is one thing that everyone agrees on, however: BA.2 is a little more transmissible than BA.1, which was already considered ultratransmissible. Studies have consistently found that BA.2 has a growth advantage, and current estimates peg BA.2's transmission as about 30 percent to 40 percent higher than BA.1's. That explains how BA.2 is now chipping away at BA.1's global domination.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		BA.2 now accounts for at least 21 percent of all sequenced omicron cases worldwide. It has overtaken BA.1 as the dominant virus in at least 10 countries, including Bangladesh, China, Denmark, India, Nepal, Pakistan, and the Philippines. Where it rises, it rises quickly. In South Africa, for instance, BA.2 jumped from 27 percent on February 4 to 86 percent by February 11. In the United Kingdom, BA.2 prevalence jumped six-fold from January 17 to January 31. And in the US, it has more than tripled from 1.2 percent in the week ending on January 29 to its most recent prevalence estimate of 3.9 percent as of February 12.
	</p>

	<h2>
		Mostly good news
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	<p>
		But those rises haven't been accompanied by concerning upticks in severe disease and hospitalizations, as noted in <a href="https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---15-february-2022" rel="external nofollow">a recent epidemiological report by the World Health Organization</a>. In Denmark, where BA.2 is quickly nearing 100 percent of all infections, researchers have seen <a href="https://en.ssi.dk/-/media/arkiv/subsites/covid19/risikovurderinger/2022/risk-assesment-of-omicron-ba2.pdf?la=en" rel="external nofollow">no difference in hospitalizations</a> among people infected with BA.2 compared with BA.1. The analysis accounted for sex, age, vaccination status, time period, region, comorbidity, and previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. In South Africa, where BA.2 is also dominant, hospital admissions continue to decline. And likewise, in Nepal, though BA.2 cases have risen in February, cases still continue to fall from late January, and use of intensive care and mechanical ventilation is also on the decline.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		Together, that data is comforting given <a href="https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.02.14.480335v1" rel="external nofollow">a recent pre-print</a> study suggesting that BA.2 appears to be more pathogenic than BA.1—at least in lab and animal experiments. The study, led by researchers at the University of Tokyo, found that BA.2 could bind to human cells better than BA.1 and replicated to higher levels in lung and nasal cells. In experiments with hamsters, the researchers also found that BA.2 caused more severe lung disease than BA.1. Work with hamsters and mice also suggested that BA.2 could thwart immune responses generated to BA.1. But this finding didn't hold up statistically when the researchers pitted BA.2 against antibody samples from three unvaccinated people who had recovered from BA.1. The rodent data also conflicts with the real-world data from Denmark, referenced above.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		Vaccine-effectiveness data from the UK and Denmark offer yet more comfort. <a href="https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1054071/vaccine-surveillance-report-week-6.pdf" rel="external nofollow">A recent report released by the UK Health Security Agency</a> found that current vaccines are just as effective—if not slightly more effective—against BA.2 than BA.1. Specifically, 25 weeks after a second dose, vaccines were 10 percent effective against symptomatic COVID-19 from BA.1 but were 18 percent effective against BA.2. Protection against symptomatic infection from BA.1 increased to 69 percent two weeks after a booster, but protection increased to 74 percent against BA.2. Preliminary data from Denmark, noted in the WHO report, found that vaccinated people with breakthrough BA.2 infections were less likely to spread the infection to household contacts than vaccinated people infected with BA.1
	</p>

	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		Overall, the WHO concluded that this "suggests that vaccination is at least equally effective in preventing acquisition of BA.2 and could be more effective in preventing transmission of BA.2 compared to BA.1."
	</p>
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</p>

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</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/02/omicron-subvariant-ba-2-worrying-lab-results-but-comforting-real-world-data/" rel="external nofollow">Omicron subvariant BA.2 continues global rise as experts assess mixed data</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4359</guid><pubDate>Sat, 19 Feb 2022 02:37:49 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>EV batteries could complicate recovery of burning cargo ship with thousands of cars</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/ev-batteries-could-complicate-recovery-of-burning-cargo-ship-with-thousands-of-cars-r4347/</link><description><![CDATA[<p>
	<strong>The ship contains thousands of Audis, Porsches, Lamborghinis, and Bentleys</strong>
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</p>

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	<img alt="_1x_1.0.jpg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="75.10" height="479" width="720" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/CmIriYpiK-_W6pRt4pjmBTzWr8Q=/0x0:1024x484/920x613/filters:focal(431x161:593x323):format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/70525838/_1x_1.0.jpg">
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<div>
	<figure>
		<p>
			Photo: Portuguese Navy
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	</figure>

	<div>
		<p>
			A bunch of burning lithium-ion batteries could complicate the recovery of the massive, <a href="https://www.theverge.com/tldr/2022/2/18/22940571/1000-porsches-are-burning-aboard-this-abandoned-cargo-ship" rel="external nofollow">abandoned cargo ship</a> in the Atlantic Ocean containing thousands of Porsches, Volkswagens, Bentleys, and Lamborghinis.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			The batteries of an unknown number of electric vehicles have caught fire aboard the ship, captain Joao Mendes Cabecas of the port of Hortas, which is the nearest port to the ship’s location, told Reuters. It’s unclear at this time whether the batteries are what sparked the fire. Experts in putting out battery fires will be needed to extinguish the blaze.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			“The ship is burning from one end to the other... everything is on fire about five meters above the water line,” Reuters quotes Cabeças saying.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
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			The Felicity Ace was heading from Germany to a port in Rhode Island when it <a href="https://www.fleetmon.com/maritime-news/2022/37269/mol-car-carrier-fire-abandoned-atlantic/" rel="external nofollow">issued distress signals</a> Wednesday morning, reporting a fire in one of its cargo decks. All 22 crew members were successfully evacuated and did not need medical attention, according to <a href="https://www.marinha.pt/pt/media-center/Noticias/Paginas/Resgatados-em-seguranca-os-tripulantes-de-navio-mercante-incendiado-nos-Acores.aspx" rel="external nofollow">a statement</a> by the Portuguese Navy.
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			The owner of the vessel is now developing a plan to recover the abandoned ship. Towing boats are en route from Gibraltar and the Netherlands and are expected to arrive at the ship’s location next week.
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			Around 1,100 Porsches and 189 Bentleys were on board, as well as an unspecified number of Audis. According to <a href="http://Importinfo.com" rel="external nofollow">Importinfo.com</a>, the electric vehicles may have been Audi E-tron Sportbacks. All told, the number of vehicles lost in the fire is likely to exceed $150 million — though the automakers declined to provide an estimate.
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			“We are aware of an incident involving a third-party cargo ship transporting Volkswagen Group vehicles across the Atlantic,” a VW spokesperson told The Verge. “The vessel was on its way to North America. At this time, we are not aware of any injuries. We are in contact with the shipping company to get more information about the incident.”
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			The fire is another blow to VW at a time when the global semiconductor shortage and supply chain disruptions are roiling the auto industry. The automaker recently disclosed that it <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/volkswagen-expects-chip-shortage-ease-later-2022-2022-02-16/" rel="external nofollow">would likely cut some night shifts</a> at one of its German factories as a result of the chip shortage. VW says it expects to be able to ramp up production in the latter half of the year.
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	<a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/2/18/22940790/cargo-ship-fire-vw-porsche-lamborghini-ev-battery" rel="external nofollow">EV batteries could complicate recovery of burning cargo ship with thousands of cars</a>
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]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4347</guid><pubDate>Fri, 18 Feb 2022 20:59:16 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Satellite images show just how ridiculously high the Tonga volcanic plume rose</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/satellite-images-show-just-how-ridiculously-high-the-tonga-volcanic-plume-rose-r4346/</link><description><![CDATA[<p>
	<strong>It probably set a global record</strong><picture data-cdata='{"image_id":70522444,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1645152838_9652_257069"></picture>
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	<picture data-cdata='{"image_id":70522444,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1645152838_9652_257069"> </picture>HUNGA TONGA-HUNGA HA’APAI, TONGA – DECEMBER 24, 2021: In this image 2. of a series created on January 19, 2022, Maxar overview satellite imagery shows the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano on December 24, 2021, before the eruption on January 15th , 2022 in Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Islands, Tonga. Photo by Maxar via Getty Images
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			The volcanic eruption that rocked the Pacific island nation of Tonga in January was so powerful it blasted ash all the way up to the mesosphere, the third and coldest layer of Earth’s atmosphere. Rising 58 kilometers (36 miles) above Earth, the volcanic plume was likely the tallest ever measured by satellite, according to NASA.
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			NASA was able to measure the plume because two weather satellites happened to be in the right place at the right time. Those satellites took still images and infrared observations that give a play-by-play of the eruption from above.
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			In just 30 minutes or so following the eruption, ash, steam, and gas from the underwater volcano rose from the surface of the ocean all the way up to the mesosphere. A second blast rose nearly as high, reaching 50 kilometers (31 miles) — placing it <a href="https://www.weather.gov/jetstream/layers#:~:text=The%20Stratosphere%20extends%20around%2031,the%20temperature%20increases%20with%20height." rel="external nofollow">right around the border</a> between the mesosphere and the stratosphere, the next layer down.
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			An explosive combination of extreme heat from the volcano and moisture from the ocean helped propel the volcanic plume to such a startling height.
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			“It was like hyper-fuel for a mega-thunderstorm,” <a href="https://science.larc.nasa.gov/people/kristopher-bedka/" rel="external nofollow">Kristopher Bedka</a>, an atmospheric scientist at NASA, said in a statement. “The plume went 2.5 times higher than any thunderstorm we have ever observed, and the eruption generated an <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/reuters-graphic-tongas-apocalyptic-lightning-storm-2022-02-14/" rel="external nofollow">incredible amount of lightning</a>.”
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			When volcanoes spew emissions into the atmosphere, they can actually temporarily cool things down both locally and globally. That’s largely due to the sunlight-reflecting particles of sulfur dioxide found in volcanic ash. But because there was so much water vapor and not a lot of sulfur dioxide in this plume, it probably won’t have that effect, according to NASA.
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			The plume from that historic eruption rose and disbursed over 13 hours on January 15th. But some of its leftover aerosols have persisted and could linger in the stratosphere (just below the mesosphere) for a full year.<picture data-cdata='{"asset_id":23252737,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1645149361_6378_270746"></picture>
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			<picture data-cdata='{"asset_id":23252737,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1645149361_6378_270746"> </picture>NASA scientists analyzed images from NOAA’s <a href="https://www.goes-r.gov/multimedia/dataAndImageryImagesGoes-17.html" target="_blank" rel="external nofollow">Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite 17</a> (GOES-17), which show the plume at various stages on January 15.
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			The eruption also triggered a devastating tsunami that swept over Tonga. The archipelago was cut off from much of the world for days after the catastrophe snapped the <a href="https://www.theverge.com/22891031/tonga-volcano-eruption-broke-undersea-internet-cable-repair" rel="external nofollow">single undersea cable</a> connecting it to the internet. Soon after, rescue efforts <a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/aid-to-volcano-hit-tonga-brings-1st-covid-outbreak-lockdown" rel="external nofollow">brought COVID-19</a> cases into the country and triggered an <a href="https://www.voanews.com/a/covid-19-hampering-tonga-s-volcano-recovery/6442355.html" rel="external nofollow">outbreak</a> in the island nation, which had only recorded its first infection in October 2021. Now, recovering from all the damage inflicted in Tonga by the volcano and tsunami will cost a crushing <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/tonga-90-million-start-repairs-volcano-82945074" rel="external nofollow">$90 million</a> — equivalent to more than 18 percent of the country’s GDP, according to a World Bank estimate.
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	<a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/2/17/22939328/tonga-volcano-plume-record-height-nasa" rel="external nofollow">Satellite images show just how ridiculously high the Tonga volcanic plume rose</a>
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]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4346</guid><pubDate>Fri, 18 Feb 2022 03:03:23 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>It Might Be Time to Take Methane Removal Seriously</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/it-might-be-time-to-take-methane-removal-seriously-r4335/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
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					An alarming spike in the second-most-damaging greenhouse gas is giving wind to a once fringe idea: Take it out of the air.
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								If you have ever heard of the claylike mineral known as zeolite, chances are you share your home with a cat. You may also know that it comes in a powder, and that it is good at wicking out liquids and smells—ideal for concealing the minor indignities of being a feline. Desirée Plata, a civil engineering professor at MIT, uses zeolite for a different kind of molecular cleanup: Combine it with a metal catalyst—in Plata’s case, copper—add some heat, and <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acsenvironau.1c00034"}' data-offer-url="https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acsenvironau.1c00034" href="https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acsenvironau.1c00034" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">it will trap and destroy methane</a>, one of the <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-ipcc-reports-silver-lining-we-can-tackle-methane-now/" rel="external nofollow">most potent greenhouse gases.</a>
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								Methane is a quixotic warming agent. Unlike carbon dioxide, which persists in the atmosphere for thousands of years, natural forces remove it within roughly a decade, mostly when it reacts with other molecules in the air. But for the brief time methane mixes aloft, it punches far above its weight, producing 80 times the warming effect of carbon dioxide over 20 years. By <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/us-sharply-cut-methane-pollution-threatens-climate-and-public-health#:~:text=One%20third%20of%20the%20warming,beneficial%20impact%20on%20the%20climate."}' data-offer-url="https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/us-sharply-cut-methane-pollution-threatens-climate-and-public-health#:~:text=One%20third%20of%20the%20warming,beneficial%20impact%20on%20the%20climate." href="https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/us-sharply-cut-methane-pollution-threatens-climate-and-public-health#:~:text=One%20third%20of%20the%20warming,beneficial%20impact%20on%20the%20climate." rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">some estimates</a>, it has been responsible for a third of anthropogenic warming so far, despite receiving far less attention. It is also notoriously difficult to track where the gas comes from. Some methane is trapped underground and then uncorked by natural fissures or by people boring into the ground for oil—or for methane itself, under the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.vox.com/22912760/natural-gas-methane-rename?utm_campaign=vox&amp;utm_content=chorus&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter"}' data-offer-url="https://www.vox.com/22912760/natural-gas-methane-rename?utm_campaign=vox&amp;utm_content=chorus&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter" href="https://www.vox.com/22912760/natural-gas-methane-rename?utm_campaign=vox&amp;utm_content=chorus&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">more anodyne name</a> “natural gas.” But it can also be created anew by microbes wherever there’s a lot of biomass and very little oxygen: <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/tiny-hungry-fish-fix-rice-global-warming-problem/" rel="external nofollow">rice paddies</a>, <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/aerial-scans-help-bust-californias-worst-methane-leakers/" rel="external nofollow">landfills</a>, <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/hungry-hungry-microbes-in-tree-bark-gobble-up-methane/" rel="external nofollow">wetlands</a>, or <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-controversial-quest-to-make-cow-burps-less-noxious/" rel="external nofollow">inside the digestive tracts of cows</a>.
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								Over the past few years, the atmospheric concentration of methane has been spiking, puzzling and alarming climate scientists. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the measurements from 2021 are poised to show the biggest increase since scientists started consistently measuring the gas. (The data takes a few months to catch up.) Is it a blip or a sustained rise caused by certain emissions sources? Or perhaps something else has changed in the cocktail of atmospheric gases, so that methane is destroyed less readily than before? “‘I don’t know’ is the honest answer,” says Rob Jackson, a climate scientist who studies methane at Stanford University. “The concentration increases are frightening. And if they continue, this is terrible news.”
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								What’s clear is that the world’s first priority needs to be cutting methane emissions, Jackson adds. Sometimes that’s as simple as turning a screw on a leaky pipeline valve or plugging up a defunct gas well. But there are limits to that pinpointed strategy. With CO2, zeroing in on a so-called “super emitter” is as simple as scanning the horizon for the smokestacks of a coal-fired power plant. But comparable sources of methane emissions are often more sporadic—a pipeline leak here, a landfill plume there—a game of whack-a-mole for environmental watchdogs inhibited by limited surveillance. Accountability is also tricky: The methane emissions of a particular herd of cows can’t be measured as consistently as the CO2 spewed by a freeway full of cars.
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								Natural emissions, which are estimated to be about 40 percent of methane emissions, are even trickier, and they are likely to accelerate as the world warms, in part by firing up gas-emitting microbes that live in <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/wildfires-are-digging-carbon-spewing-holes-in-the-arctic/" rel="external nofollow">permafrost</a> or underneath sea ice. “The problem with natural emissions is that there is not a lot we can do with them,” Jackson says. “It’s hard to estimate the emissions of the Chesapeake Bay, or more terrifyingly, measure what will happen if the Arctic starts melting. That’s letting the genie out of the bottle, and it’s impossible to get it back in.”
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								So perhaps, Jackson and other scientists suggest, it's time to think about removing methane from the atmosphere, in addition to cutting back on new emissions. It’s an idea <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/is-it-time-for-an-emergency-rollout-of-carbon-eating-machines/" rel="external nofollow">that’s far more advanced</a> for carbon dioxide—and perhaps for good reason, given that CO2 is the leading cause of warming and that humanity will be living with today's CO2 emissions for thousands of years. But with methane, proponents argue there’s a rationale for swift action—a chance to return to preindustrial levels within decades, thanks to its short life span. Jackson and other scientists have argued that the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4940"}' data-offer-url="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4940" href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4940" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">heating effects of methane are chronically undervalued</a>, because current climate policies emphasize long-term temperature goals that extend far beyond the lifetime of a methane molecule. The value of reducing methane levels spikes when you factor in the benefits of preventing warming now.
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								But the idea presents a paradox: There may be too much methane coming from everywhere to do that with emission cutbacks alone, Jackson says. Yet perhaps there’s not enough of it in the air to feasibly take it out.
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								Destroying methane is, in a chemical sense, a relatively easy task. Nature does it constantly. Methane is a single carbon atom surrounded on four sides by hydrogen, and these bonds are broken apart by a process called oxidation—it involves oxygen atoms plus some goading by energy and chemical catalysts.
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								There are many ways to make that chemical reaction happen, explains Renaud de Richter, a scientific adviser to Methane Action, a nonprofit that advocates removing the gas from the environment. Most methane is oxidized naturally when it reacts with either chlorine atoms or hydroxyl radicals in the atmosphere. So one idea is to spray iron salts, perhaps with the assistance of cargo ships, that will coax more chlorine atoms out of briny ocean air. The idea <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://methaneaction.org/about/"}' data-offer-url="https://methaneaction.org/about/" href="https://methaneaction.org/about/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">is being tested by</a> researchers at the University of Copenhagen inside a laboratory gas chamber. Another concept, favored by de Richter, would involve using thermal towers that passively suck in air and break down methane through photocatalysis—a process involving sunlight and metal catalysts. But neither idea has been tested in the real world yet.
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								Compared to those methods, Plata’s zeolite-based removal is old science. The idea emerged from the industry that produces methanol—a liquid chemical that’s used as an antifreeze, among other things, and can be converted into a variety of fuels like ethanol. Microbes do this naturally. Sitting in the seabed, they get a little methane from the ground below, a little oxygen from the air up above, and produce methanol. Industrial players have tried to replicate this using a powdered zeolite as a sort of “molecular sieve” that traps the methane in its pores, then oxidizes the molecules with heat, oxygen, and metal catalysts. 
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								For methanol producers, the problem with this setup is that the reaction is difficult to control precisely. The concoction tends to over-oxidize, turning the precious methanol into carbon dioxide and water vapor. “Engineers have obsessed over how to prevent that from happening,” Plata says. Their solution is to try out funky modifications, like alternately flooding the reaction with methane and oxygen, although this makes the whole process inefficient.
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								But Plata’s goal isn’t to produce any methanol; it’s simply to get rid of methane. Hence her solution: Don’t sweat the carbon dioxide. “People freak out when I say that,” Plata says. Yes, it’s a little odd to suggest turning one greenhouse gas into another. But, she says, because of CO2’s substantially lower warming effect, its relative effect on the climate is “a minuscule little blip” compared to letting methane hang around. In the lab, Plata dried up a copper and zeolite mixture and placed it in a tube with various mixtures of atmospheric gases, including methane at varied concentrations. “It works. I’ll say that. We can convert low levels of methane,” Plata says. “The question is about how quickly you can make it work.”
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								Last month, Plata’s team received a $2 million grant from the US Department of Energy intended to quickly move the technology out of the lab. The next step is converting their powdered catalyst into a zeolite-based filter that’s easier to push air through—a process she compares to the catalytic converter at the back of a car. Plata wants to install the filters in places where methane is concentrated, but there’s not enough of it to burn—a process known as flaring that’s commonly used to get rid of methane leaking from natural gas and oil wells. Flaring and other thermal techniques can destroy methane at concentrations as low as 2,000 parts per million. She imagines the zeolite-based filtration being used in less concentrated environments, like mine shafts or indoor dairy farms.
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								Jackson, who is involved in a team working on similar technology, says he likes the zeolite strategy because it occurs “inside a box.” Unlike spraying chemicals into the open air from cargo ships, it’s easier to count how much methane is being destroyed and whether there are knock-on effects—more reactions happening in the air producing byproducts that you might not want. But he acknowledges that “zeolites aren’t magic.” Among the key concerns are producing a material that allows as much air as possible to flow through it, and bringing down the temperature of the reactions—both in an effort to conserve energy. (Though an improvement over other methods, Plata’s lab process works best at a balmy 300 degrees Celsius.)
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								But Jackson feels the concept is getting close to viability for what he describes as a sweet spot—for deployment to places where there isn’t good technology to destroy or pull back on high volumes of methane emissions. Over time, Jackson says, the idea is to reduce the concentration of methane that can be viably filtered to about 2 parts per million—the background level of the gas in the atmosphere.
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								Getting there will be tough, says Klaus Lackner, a geophysicist at Arizona State University and a pioneer in CO2 capture technology. Lackner says the challenges of removing either gas from the atmosphere are similar, but in his view, far more daunting to scale for methane. Atmospheric concentrations of methane are relatively low—CO2, by comparison, is at 412 parts per million—and it would be almost impossible to push enough air through enough filters to trap a worthwhile amount, he says. What’s more, even if you could, “you have to pull a lot out to make a difference,” because natural processes may compensate to replace the artificially removed methane on a global scale. The oceans release a little extra, the microbes munch a little less. “You have to be as big as nature,” he says.
							</p>

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							</p>

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								The barrier to being as big as nature is the potential cost. It would require either a tremendous number of passive machines to process enough of the atmosphere to make a dent in overall concentrations, or energy-hogging fans that are “barely affordable” even for CO2 capture. (By <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-20437-0??utm_medium=affiliate&amp;utm_source=commission_junction&amp;utm_campaign=CONR_PF018_ECOM_GL_PHSS_ALWYS_PRODUCT&amp;utm_content=productdatafeed&amp;utm_term=PID100095187&amp;CJEVENT=679688bf8f5511ec83fd16c20a1c0e13"}' data-offer-url="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-20437-0??utm_medium=affiliate&amp;utm_source=commission_junction&amp;utm_campaign=CONR_PF018_ECOM_GL_PHSS_ALWYS_PRODUCT&amp;utm_content=productdatafeed&amp;utm_term=PID100095187&amp;CJEVENT=679688bf8f5511ec83fd16c20a1c0e13" href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-20437-0??utm_medium=affiliate&amp;utm_source=commission_junction&amp;utm_campaign=CONR_PF018_ECOM_GL_PHSS_ALWYS_PRODUCT&amp;utm_content=productdatafeed&amp;utm_term=PID100095187&amp;CJEVENT=679688bf8f5511ec83fd16c20a1c0e13" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">one estimate</a>, humanity would need to build some 10,000 direct air capture facilities by the end of the century to actually reduce CO2 levels.) But, he adds, it’s useful to keep studying the various strategies. “At the end of the day, you could say we have an insurance policy,” Lackner says—especially if methane emissions start to get truly out of control, such as if a <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/arctic-greening/" rel="external nofollow">warming</a> <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-arctic-carbon-bomb-could-screw-the-climate-even-more/" rel="external nofollow">Arctic</a> causes a <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/humanity-has-turned-land-itself-into-a-menace/" rel="external nofollow">runaway release of the gas</a>.
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								Jackson acknowledges the challenges—and that reducing methane emissions, as well as CO2, is priority number one. That means tighter rules for emitters and better surveillance to identify where the gas is escaping. Currently, “it’s not clear who would pay” for methane removal, he says, even in cases where the technology would be sited at businesses with high emissions, like at a dairy farm or a coal mine.
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								But that could change, he adds. The idea of methane removal is getting more attention, including an analysis of various technologies in the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/#FullReport"}' data-offer-url="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/#FullReport" href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/#FullReport" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">2021 report</a> from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. He also points to the recent signing of more than 100 nations to the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.globalmethanepledge.org/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.globalmethanepledge.org/" href="https://www.globalmethanepledge.org/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">Global Methane Pledge</a>, a US- and EU-led effort to cut emissions by 30 percent from 2020 levels by the year 2030. That may encourage nations to consider more stringent rules for facilities that produce methane, and perhaps put a higher value on the carbon equivalence of methane emissions, translating into incentives for removal or taxes for emissions. The point, Jackson says, is that we should do everything we can to stop warming now: “Methane is the strongest lever we have for that.”
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<p>
	<a href="https://www.wired.com/story/it-might-be-time-to-take-methane-removal-seriously/" rel="external nofollow">It Might Be Time to Take Methane Removal Seriously</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4335</guid><pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2022 20:18:35 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Corn ethanol no better&#x2014;and probably worse&#x2014;than burning gasoline, study says</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/corn-ethanol-no-better%E2%80%94and-probably-worse%E2%80%94than-burning-gasoline-study-says-r4334/</link><description><![CDATA[<p>
	<strong>Efforts to reduce carbon pollution using ethanol appear to have backfired.</strong>
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		For over a decade, the US has blended ethanol with gasoline in an attempt to reduce the overall carbon pollution produced by fossil fuel-powered cars and trucks. But a new study says that the practice may not be achieving its goals. In fact, burning ethanol made from corn—the major source in the US—may be worse for the climate than just burning gasoline alone.
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		Corn drove demand for land and fertilizer far higher than previous assessments had estimated. Together, the additional land and fertilizer drove up ethanol’s carbon footprint to the point where the lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions—from seed to tank—were higher than that of gasoline. Some researchers <a href="https://arstechnica.com/uncategorized/2008/12/good-news-for-wind-bad-for-ethanol-in-major-energy-study/" rel="external nofollow">predicted</a> this might happen, but the new paper provides a comprehensive and retrospective look at the real-world results of the policy.
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		Proponents have long argued that corn-based ethanol bolsters farm incomes while providing a domestic source of renewable liquid fuel, while critics have said that its status as a carbon-reducing gasoline additive relies on questionable accounting. Based on the new study, both sides may be right.
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	<h2>
		Rosy predictions
	</h2>

	<p>
		Ethanol as a fuel has long been contentious in the US. It started being added to gasoline nationwide in 2006, and the amount has been <a href="https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2016/11/epa-increases-the-amount-of-renewable-fuel-to-be-blended-into-gasoline/" rel="external nofollow">ramped up in the years since</a> under the federal Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), a key plank in the bipartisan Energy Policy Act of 2005 that was signed into law by President George W. Bush. Today, most gasoline sold in the US contains 10 percent ethanol, and about a <a href="https://afdc.energy.gov/data/10339" rel="external nofollow">third of the corn crop</a> in the country is used to produce the fuel. While other sources would qualify, including ethanol derived from cellulose, “most RFS biofuel production has come from conventional corn ethanol,” the study’s authors pointed out.
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		The researchers studied the issue from several angles, including examining how much additional land was needed to grow the corn, how much extra fertilizer was used, what the combination of the two did to water quality, and how crop prices changed in response to the RFS. The team looked at those changes between 2008—the year after the law requiring the standard was passed—and 2016.
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		When the law was first implemented, corn ethanol barely qualified for inclusion in the RFS program. In the initial regulatory impact analysis, US emissions from land-use change were predicted to decline slightly, while those abroad were expected to rise significantly. (The international increase was anticipated due to supply-and-demand shifts in the global market for crops.)
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		“To comply with the policy’s GHG [greenhouse gas] reduction goals, the RFS requires conventional renewable fuels to generate life cycle GHG savings of at least 20% relative to gasoline,” the researchers wrote. “Upon enactment, the policy’s regulatory analysis projected that life cycle emissions of corn ethanol production would just clear the 20% threshold by 2022, even when emissions from [new farmland] were included.”
	</p>

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	</p>
	But the new study says that as a result of new farmland being tilled and old farmland not being retired, emissions from land-use change and fertilizer use in the US increased nearly 50 percent above the regulatory analysis’s estimates that allowed corn ethanol to barely qualify.

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	</p>

	<p>
		The researchers found that in response to the new demand, farmers tilled an additional 2.8 million hectares (6.9 million acres) for corn that otherwise would have been left alone, an 8.7 percent increase. Since corn needs a lot of nutrients to grow, fertilizer use shot up by 3–8 percent.
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		The extra land put under the plow released a significant amount of carbon, enough to flip the assessment of corn ethanol from a carbon-negative fuel to a carbon-emitting one. The biggest decline came when new cropland released carbon that had been stored in soils and vegetation, including roots of living plants. Farmers were also less likely to enter a field into the Conservation Reserve Program, which pays farmers to plant perennial vegetation on unused farmland.
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		After the fertilizer was applied, it released a significant amount of nitrous oxide, a potent greenhouse gas that warms the atmosphere 300 times more than the same amount of carbon dioxide over 100 years. The researchers’ estimates of the carbon impact of the fertilizer are probably low, too, since the authors didn’t calculate how much additional pollution the manufacturing process released or the extent to which degraded water quality in downstream waterways released more greenhouse gases.
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			Greenhouse gases weren’t the only thing the RFS drove up—prices for major crops rose significantly over the eight years covered in the study. Unsurprisingly, corn was the most affected, with prices rising 30 percent as a result of the ethanol requirement. Yet there was significant spillover, too. With corn demand up, wheat prices rose 20 percent, and soybean prices increased 19 percent.
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			Expanding biofuels production would only add to the inflation, the researchers found. “Our estimates imply that for every billion gallons per year (BGY) expansion of ethanol demand, we would expect a 5.6% increase in corn prices; 1.6 and 0.4% increases in the areas of US corn and cropland, respectively; and attendant increases in GHG emissions, nutrient pollution, and soil erosion,” they wrote.
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		<h2>
			Regulatory review
		</h2>
		The new study is timely—the statutory requirements enacted by Congress expire at the end of this year, after which point the Environmental Protection Agency has the authority to set new targets. The new study isn’t the final word on the matter, of course, but since it looked at what actually happened after the RFS was implemented as opposed to being a forward-looking estimate, it’s certain to spark some debate over whether corn ethanol should continue to be included in the program. It's likely that other fuels would have different carbon footprints, though this study didn't consider them.

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			It’s unlikely that the government will toss out corn ethanol entirely—such a move would almost certainly sink corn prices at a rate that would put many farmers out of business. But the study may put pressure on the government to find other ways to reduce carbon emissions from transportation—ones that don’t rely on today’s readily available biofuels.
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			“The United States is currently at a bioenergy crossroads,” the researchers wrote. “As policy-makers worldwide deliberate the future of biofuels, it is essential that they consider the full scope of the associated tradeoffs, weighing the GHG and other environmental externalities alongside each fuel’s benefits.”
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		</p>

		<p>
			PNAS, 2022. DOI: <a href="https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2101084119" rel="external nofollow">10.1073/pnas.2101084119</a> (<a href="http://arstechnica.com/science/news/2010/03/dois-and-their-discontents-1.ars" rel="external nofollow">About DOIs</a>).
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	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/02/us-biofuel-mandate-likely-increased-carbon-emissions-inflated-crop-prices-20-30/" rel="external nofollow">Corn ethanol no better—and probably worse—than burning gasoline, study says</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4334</guid><pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2022 20:13:48 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>DeepMind Has Trained an AI to Control Nuclear Fusion</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/deepmind-has-trained-an-ai-to-control-nuclear-fusion-r4321/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
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					<strong>The Google-backed firm taught a reinforcement learning algorithm to control the fiery plasma inside a tokamak nuclear fusion reactor.</strong>
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								The inside of a tokamak—the doughnut-shaped vessel designed to contain a nuclear fusion reaction—presents a special kind of chaos. Hydrogen atoms are smashed together at unfathomably high temperatures, creating a whirling, roiling plasma that’s hotter than the surface of the sun. Finding smart ways to control and confine that plasma will be key to unlocking the potential of <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/nuclear-fusion-spacecraft-jupiter/" rel="external nofollow">nuclear fusion</a>, which has been mooted as the clean energy source of the future for decades. At this point, the science underlying fusion seems sound, so what remains is an engineering challenge. “We need to be able to heat this matter up and hold it together for long enough for us to take energy out of it,” says Ambrogio Fasoli, director of the Swiss Plasma Center at École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne in Switzerland.
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								That’s where DeepMind comes in. The artificial intelligence firm, backed by Google parent company Alphabet, has previously turned its hand to <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/deepmind-beats-pros-starcraft-another-triumph-bots/" rel="external nofollow">video games</a> and <a href="https://www.wired.co.uk/article/deepmind-protein-folding-database" rel="external nofollow">protein</a> <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/without-code-for-deepminds-protein-ai-this-lab-wrote-its-own/" rel="external nofollow">folding</a>, and has been working on a joint research project with the Swiss Plasma Center to develop an AI for controlling a nuclear fusion reaction.
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								In stars, which are also powered by fusion, the sheer gravitational mass is enough to pull hydrogen atoms together and overcome their opposing charges. On Earth, scientists instead use powerful magnetic coils to confine the nuclear fusion reaction, nudging it into the desired position and shaping it like a potter manipulating clay on a wheel. The coils have to be carefully controlled to prevent the plasma from touching the sides of the vessel: this can damage the walls and slow down the fusion reaction. (There’s little risk of an explosion as the fusion reaction cannot survive without magnetic confinement).
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								But every time researchers want to change the configuration of the plasma and try out different shapes that may yield more power or a cleaner plasma, it necessitates a huge amount of engineering and design work. Conventional systems are computer-controlled and based on models and careful simulations, but they are, Fasoli says, “complex and not always necessarily optimized.”
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								DeepMind has developed an AI that can control the plasma autonomously. A <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04301-9"}' data-offer-url="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04301-9" href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04301-9" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">paper</a> published in the journal Nature describes how researchers from the two groups taught a deep reinforcement learning system to control the 19 magnetic coils inside TCV, the variable-configuration tokamak at the Swiss Plasma Center, which is used to carry out research that will inform the design of bigger fusion reactors in the future. “AI, and specifically reinforcement learning, is particularly well suited to the complex problems presented by controlling plasma in a tokamak,” says Martin Riedmiller, control team lead at DeepMind.<br>
								<br>
								The neural network—a type of AI setup designed to mimic the architecture of the human brain—was initially trained in a simulation. It started by observing how changing the settings on each of the 19 coils affected the shape of the plasma inside the vessel. Then it was given different shapes to try to re-create in the plasma. These included a D-shaped cross section close to what will be used inside ITER (formerly the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor), the large-scale experimental tokamak <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/fusion-energy-iter-reactor-ready-to-shine/" rel="external nofollow">under construction in France</a>, and a snowflake configuration that could help dissipate the intense heat of the reaction more evenly around the vessel.
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	<a href="https://www.wired.com/story/deepmind-ai-nuclear-fusion/" rel="external nofollow">DeepMind Has Trained an AI to Control Nuclear Fusion</a>
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	(May require free registration to view)
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]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4321</guid><pubDate>Wed, 16 Feb 2022 19:31:04 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>The Elusive Hunt for a Robot That Can Pick a Ripe Strawberry</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/the-elusive-hunt-for-a-robot-that-can-pick-a-ripe-strawberry-r4320/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
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					<strong>It's a tricky, delicate task that combines machine vision and robotics. Progress has been slow, but entrepreneurs and farmers continue to invest.</strong>
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								Ten years ago, a company called Agrobot demonstrated a strawberry-harvesting <a href="https://www.wired.com/tag/robots/" rel="external nofollow">robot</a> in a field in Davis, California. Today, Agrobot’s strawberry picker remains a prototype.
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								The long wait underscores the challenge for any berry-picking robot: Identify a berry that is ripe enough to pick, grasp it firmly but without damaging the fruit, and pull hard enough to separate it from the plant without harming the plant. Agrobot CEO Juan Bravo said his company’s machine can’t compete with people who can pick fruit by hand and pack it into clamshells.
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								Still, growers are looking ahead to a day when it will be hard to find people willing to stoop in the fields all day, and expensive to pay them. So growers, technologists, and researchers are continuing to pursue machines that can do the job. A recent <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-497056/v1"}' data-offer-url="https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-497056/v1" href="https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-497056/v1" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">survey</a> of nearly 50 robotic harvesting projects showed that strawberry-picking projects attracted more interest than projects targeting any other fruit over the past two decades.
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								In the latest sign of this interest, indoor-farming company Bowery recently acquired Traptic, a Silicon Valley startup created in 2016 that last year began commercial deployments with Naturipe and Blazer Wilkinson, two large strawberry growers. Bowery will adapt Traptic for indoor vertical farming because its systems, like most of its competitors’, primarily operate outside in the fields of California or Florida.
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										Traptic's robotic picker working in a field in California.
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							Traptic’s creators say it can pick 100,000 strawberries a day. It will now work exclusively in Bowery indoor farms, marking the first use of robotic arms at the company, which relies heavily on <a href="https://www.wired.com/tag/computer-vision/" rel="external nofollow">computer vision</a>, <a href="https://www.wired.com/tag/sensors/" rel="external nofollow">sensors</a>, and technology to grow lettuce for customers like Safeway and Walmart. Bowery intends to move robotic arms between indoor strawberry rows—as it does in fields—using automated vehicles. In addition to harvesting, Bowery will explore use of robotic arms to pollinate strawberry flowers and do maintenance work like thinning or pruning leaves.
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							Bowery was founded in 2015 and has operations near cities including New York and Philadelphia. Backers include GV, formerly Google Ventures, and individuals like Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi and former Amazon consumer CEO Jeff Wilke. In May 2021, Bowery raised $300 million at a $2.3 billion valuation and announced plans to expand operations to the Atlanta and Dallas-Fort Worth areas early next year.
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							Last year, Bowery <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://venturebeat.com/2021/02/11/bowery-cto-injong-rhee-on-the-grand-challenge-of-ai-for-indoor-farming/"}' data-offer-url="https://venturebeat.com/2021/02/11/bowery-cto-injong-rhee-on-the-grand-challenge-of-ai-for-indoor-farming/" href="https://venturebeat.com/2021/02/11/bowery-cto-injong-rhee-on-the-grand-challenge-of-ai-for-indoor-farming/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">opened Farm X</a>, a New Jersey research facility where the company explored vertical farming of cucumbers, strawberries, and tomatoes. Farm X opened shortly after Bowery hired Injong Rhee, who previously worked on machine learning projects at Google, as chief technology officer. Rhee said Bowery will use Traptic’s technology to begin selling strawberries this spring, adding that the tech is “mature enough to get us there.” Bowery envisions making Traptic a core part of Bowery’s fruit and vine operations.
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							Rhee said Traptic stood out from other companies in the space because its robot doesn’t touch the strawberry. Instead it grabs strawberries by the stem, pulling strongly enough to detach the fruit but lightly enough to avoid damaging the rest of the plant.
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							Such tasks are an ongoing challenge. A recent study reviewed nearly 50 harvesting robot projects from 2000 to 2020 and found that harvesting robots have yet to see widespread use, in large part because most robots still can’t do a better job than a human.
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							Hugh Zhou is lead author of an <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-497056/v1"}' data-offer-url="https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-497056/v1" href="https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-497056/v1" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">analysis</a> of AI progress in fruit-harvesting robots and their commercial viability. The study was carried out by researchers <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.bbc.com/news/av/technology-56430984"}' data-offer-url="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/technology-56430984" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/technology-56430984" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">developing an apple-harvesting robot</a> at Monash University in Australia. Based on what’s possible today, Zhou said he can envision a scenario in which robots pick 70 percent of easy-to-classify strawberries and humans pick the remaining crop. It’s just in recent years that HarvestCROO Robotics and a handful of other companies have advanced their systems to the point that they’re picking strawberries at rates competitive with people.
						</p>

						<p>
							 
						</p>

						<p>
							Zhou says the makers of fruit-harvesting robots are heavy on demo videos and light on data. The majority don’t share damage rates publicly, or how well their vision systems perform when picking strawberries from clusters or strawberries partly hidden behind leaves, two primary reasons computer vision systems fail to pick fruit. Crushing or bruising berries is still a common problem, and accidentally harming one strawberry while attempting to pick another is a problem that is often overlooked and rarely mentioned.
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						<p>
							Companies working with robots to harvest fruit say there are reasons many haven’t moved out of the prototype stage and only a handful of machines are in operation today.
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						<p>
							In April 2021, AppHarvest, operator of the largest greenhouse in the US, acquired Root.ai, a Somerville, Massachusetts-based company whose Virgo machine <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lh7NO7h7hAM"}' data-offer-url="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lh7NO7h7hAM" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lh7NO7h7hAM" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">picks grape tomatoes</a> with a small, three-pronged robotic gripper. That technology is now used to pick strawberries and cucumbers as well, using four- and eight-fingered grippers. As part of the deal, Root.ai CEO Josh Lessing became CTO at AppHarvest.
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						<p>
							Picking rates have doubled since the acquisition, Lessing says. He says the company now wants to reduce the cost of the robots as it moves toward finalizing Virgo hardware in 2023.
						</p>

						<p>
							 
						</p>

						<p>
							Today Virgo picks healthy fruit better than most people, but it needs to improve its ability to detect ripeness and damage less fruit before being deployed in widespread use. Reducing the damage rate is tied to more use of soft grippers and passive forms of robotic control, says Lessing, a former research director at Soft Robotics.
						</p>

						<p>
							 
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						<p>
							Proponents of agricultural computer vision systems argue that being able to predict when fruit is ripe will lead to improved sales, reduced waste, and yield gains as the global population expands to 10 billion.
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						<p>
							 
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						<p>
							Robots can also help grow and market expensive specialty fruits. Robots working in tandem with automated vision systems can monitor crops 24 hours a day to predict the ideal time to pick a ripe, red strawberry. The startup Oishii raised $50 million last fall for its vertical farming operation as it works to replicate the process of growing sweet Omakase strawberries typically found in the Japanese Alps. A box of 11 berries goes for $50.
						</p>

						<p>
							 
						</p>

						<p>
							Advanced Farm operates 10 robotic picking machines at Blazer Wilkinson strawberry farms in Central California. Each machine can pick roughly 100 pounds of strawberries an hour. Tarps drape along the top and the side of a machine that sits atop two rows of strawberries at once. The tarps keep out light and help cameras and computer vision systems classify fruit and control robotic arms—light can affect the computer vision system, so the machines mostly operate at night.
						</p>

						<p>
							 
						</p>

						<p>
							Each time a ripe strawberry is identified, a silicone robotic hand with a suction cup in the middle moves in, grabs the strawberry, and then uses three fingers to twist it away from the stem and place it in a bin. Advanced Farm designed nearly 50 versions before deciding on the current design of its picking system.
						</p>

						<p>
							 
						</p>

						<p>
							Advanced Farm cofounder Kyle Cobb says the company’s robots are “in the ballpark” but are still more expensive than human strawberry pickers. “It’s one of those problems that we’ve mostly gotten through, but like with all problems with robotic harvesting, the last few percent are going to be hard to build up,” he says.
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							John Wilkinson of Blazer Wilkinson says he became interested in robotics a few years ago in response to labor shortages. He says the technology is still in the research and development phase, but he thinks it will ultimately become essential.
						</p>

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						<p>
							Hillary Thomas is research and technical director at farm conglomerate Naturipe. She says companies working on strawberry-picking robots have made big strides in reducing rates of damage since Naturipe started testing robotic harvesting in operations in 2016. Naturipe works with robotics companies, including Traptic and Harvest CROO Robotics, and she says each company can now reliably pick marketable fruit that meets company quality specifications.
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						<p>
							Factors such as the cost of these machines and their output will determine whether the robots replace farm workers, but Thomas said there’s no longer any question that robots can overcome challenges to successfully harvest strawberries. Whether robots are adopted by growers in the fields of California will come down to the cost per pound of delivering berries to consumers.
						</p>

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						<p>
							Thomas says she can envision human-machine scenarios in which robots pick at night and people pack during the day. Grape harvesters in California fields already work alongside <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/robots-follow-learn-where-go/" rel="external nofollow">Burro robots</a>. Robots are also being introduced to carry out other dedicated tasks on farms, like weeding, pruning, <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/robotic-pollinator/" rel="external nofollow">pollinating flowers</a>, and painting fruit in UV light to protect it from mold or mildew.
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						<p>
							Zhou, the Australian researcher, says that despite today’s shortcomings, the machines are improving. Recent advances signal that “soft robotics combined with deep learning algorithms might be the solution to the last mile of this fruit-harvesting challenge,” he says.
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</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://www.wired.com/story/elusive-hunt-robot-pick-ripe-strawberry/" rel="external nofollow">The Elusive Hunt for a Robot That Can Pick a Ripe Strawberry</a>
</p>

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	(May require free registration to view)
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]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4320</guid><pubDate>Wed, 16 Feb 2022 19:28:01 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>The robber fly is an aerodynamic acrobat that can catch its prey in midflight</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/the-robber-fly-is-an-aerodynamic-acrobat-that-can-catch-its-prey-in-midflight-r4316/</link><description><![CDATA[<div itemprop="articleBody">
	<figure>
		<img alt="A miniature predatory robber fly (&lt;em&gt;Holcocephala fascia&lt;/em&gt;) feeds on a captured rove beetle. A new study reveals that the fly approaches its prey from underneath, aiming for a future meeting point wth the target." src="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/robberflyLIST-800x533.jpg">
		<figcaption>
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				A miniature predatory robber fly (Holcocephala fascia) feeds on a captured rove beetle. A new study reveals that the fly approaches its prey from underneath, aiming for a future meeting point wth the target.
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				Samuel Fabian
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	<p>
		Robber flies are aerodynamic acrobats, able to spot their prey, dodge around obstacles, and capture smaller insects at high speeds in midflights. Scientists have taken a closer look at how robber flies manage this amazing feat despite having brains on par with a single grain of sand. According to <a href="https://journals.biologists.com/jeb/article-lookup/doi/10.1242/jeb.243568" rel="external nofollow">a new paper</a> published in the Journal of Experimental Biology, the flies combine two distinct feedback-based navigation strategies: one that involves intercepting the prey when the view is clear, and another that allows the flies to swerve around any obstacles in their flight path.
	</p>

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	<p>
		One of the challenges in robotics is how to design robots that can navigate cluttered environments—something humans and other animals manage to do instinctively every day. Per the authors, many robotic systems rely upon a kind of path-planning: using sound (sonar) or lasers to send out signals and then detecting the reflections. That data can then be used to build a distance map of the surroundings.
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	<p>
		But compared to using simple visual cues (i.e., "reactive methods"), path-planning is a costly approach in terms of energy use. Humans and other animals don't require elaborate maps or specific knowledge about a target's location, speed, and other details. We simply react to any relevant stimuli in our environment in real time. Devising navigational behavioral algorithms based on biological systems is thus of great interest to roboticists.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		Past studies have focused on the ability of various species, including fruit flies and pigeons as well as humans, to negotiate cluttered environments. "However, in these instances, obstacle avoidance was the only goal," the authors wrote. "Navigating around an obstacle is more challenging when a particular location acts as a target, because the aversion to obstacles must be balanced by the navigational goal."
	</p>

	<p>
		 
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	<p>
		That's why bioengineer Samuel Fabian of Imperial College, London and three collaborators from the University of Minnesota decided to conduct their own experiments using the predatory robber fly (Holocephala fusca) as a test subject. The robber fly was chosen because of its highly predictable interception path to catch prey. Also, its small size and relative fast behavior (most flights last less than a second) "require rapid reactions with minimum computational effort," the authors wrote.
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			<source type="video/mp4" src="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/robberflymovie.mp4?_=1">
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	<p>
		Fabian et al. liken the robber fly's hunting behavior to that of falcons, hawks, and modern guided missiles. Robber flies typically hunt by perching somewhere that gives them a clear view of the sky. Once a robber fly spots potential prey and begins pursuit, the fly must navigate to both intercept the prey and avoid any obstacles along the way, such as errant branches.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
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	<p>
		The robber flies were presented with a moving target in the form of a small silver-colored reflective bead being pulled along a transparent fishing line with pulleys and a stepper motor. "The flies really didn't know it's not real prey, even when very close," <a href="https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/943078?" rel="external nofollow">said Fabian</a>. "If something is small enough, they generally seem to assume it's food."
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	<p>
		 
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	<p>
		The frame also held an obstacle: an acetate bar painted with black acrylic paint, either a thin (2.5 cm) or thick (5 cm) version, placed just below the path of the target. "The exact placement of the bar and the initial trajectory of the fly determined whether the object became an obstacle in the flight path and whether it obscured the target," the authors wrote.
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	<p>
		 
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	<p>
		The researchers recorded all the flights under field conditions to get the most naturalistic behavior. Next, they digitally reconstructed 26 flights of robber flies pursuing the moving bead in the presence of an obstacle. Maneuvering the overhead equipment tended to startle the flies, so those 26 flights represent flies who remained on their perch as the apparatus was set up around them instead of flying away.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
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	<p>
		The results: when there was no obstacle, the robber flies maintained the same line of sight to the bead throughout their approach in order to intercept and capture their prey. When a thin or thick black bar partially obscured their view for brief periods (less than 0.1 second), the flies engaged in evasive maneuvers to get around the obstacle before getting back on course for an interception. Sometimes a fly would swerve in response to a black bar even when the bar didn't obscure their line of sight. And when the researchers obscured the flies' line of sight for longer than 0.1 second, the flies would abandon the interception entirely.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		Fabian et al. concluded that the robber flies were employing a simple obstacle-avoidance strategy in combination with their standard interception strategy, which they have termed combined guidance. "The faster the obstacle is getting larger in their field of view, the more they turn away from it," <a href="https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/943078?" rel="external nofollow">said Fabian</a>. Flies revert to the interception trajectory once said obstacle begins to recede from view. "They are paying attention to their surroundings even when focused on the target."
	</p>

	<p>
		 
	</p>

	<p>
		This "demonstrates that obstacle avoidance can be the product of simple feedback laws that do not require absolute knowledge of distance, size, or velocity," the authors wrote, in keeping with prior work showing that simple feedback laws can also explain the flies' interception strategy. Granted, this is based on a limited number of field trials, and the team hopes to conduct more trials in the future.
	</p>

	<p>
		 
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	<p>
		DOI: Journal of Experimental Biology, 2022. <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1242/jeb.243568" rel="external nofollow">10.1242/jeb.243568</a>  (<a href="http://arstechnica.com/science/news/2010/03/dois-and-their-discontents-1.ars" rel="external nofollow">About DOIs</a>).
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<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/02/the-robber-fly-is-an-aerodynamic-acrobat-that-can-catch-its-prey-in-mid-flight/" rel="external nofollow">The robber fly is an aerodynamic acrobat that can catch its prey in midflight</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4316</guid><pubDate>Wed, 16 Feb 2022 04:33:42 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>NASA reveals first images from its new X-ray mission</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/nasa-reveals-first-images-from-its-new-x-ray-mission-r4307/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
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			<strong>IXPE was launched in early December to study X-ray polarization</strong><picture data-cdata='{"image_id":70513304,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1644953758_6848_447648"></picture>
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				On Monday, NASA <a href="https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/ixpe/news/nasa-s-ixpe-sends-first-science-image.html" rel="external nofollow">released</a> the first science images from its new Imaging X-ray Polarimetry Explorer, or IXPE. A look at the Cassiopeia A supernova — the bright remnants of a star that exploded in space in the 17th century — the image provides a first glimpse of what the space agency’s new X-ray mission will teach us about some of the most extreme events in the cosmos, like supernova explosions and cosmic collisions.
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				<a href="https://www.theverge.com/2021/12/9/22825940/spacex-nasa-ixpe-telescope-launch-mission-space" rel="external nofollow">Launched in early December</a>, IXPE is NASA’s first mission dedicated to studying X-ray polarization, or X-ray light whose vibrations are all aligned in a single direction. The explorer builds on the work of the Chandra X-ray Observatory by using polarization to help explain exactly where the X-ray light produced from space events comes from.
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				The first image presented by NASA shows X-ray emissions of various intensities IXPE mapped across the supernova in mid-January. Researchers will study the data to create a first-of-its-kind X-ray polarization map of Cassiopeia A, which will provide insights into X-ray production at Cassiopeia A.<picture data-cdata='{"asset_id":23243742,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1644953758_2498_447649"> </picture>
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				<img alt="full.png" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="100.00" height="260" width="260" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/PlGJm9X2Bv1dkJTIIGTA6T1_0pE=/0x0:260x260/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:260x260):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23243742/full.png">
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					Image: NASA
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			<p id="255SlR">
				“IXPE’s future polarization images should unveil the mechanisms at the heart of this famous cosmic accelerator,” Roger Romani, an IXPE co-investigator, said in a press release. “To fill in some of those details, we’ve developed a way to make IXPE’s measurements even more precise using machine learning techniques. We’re looking forward to what we’ll find as we analyze all the data.”
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			<p>
				A second image shows the Cassiopeia A supernova in bright magenta and blue. The image uses combined data collected from both the IXPE (the magenta region) and the Chandra X-ray Observatory (the blue regions). Chandra’s data, collected shortly after that telescope first launched in 1999, revealed evidence of an object like a black hole or neutron star at the center of the supernova remnant.<picture data-cdata='{"asset_id":23243544,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1644953758_4279_447650"> </picture>
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				<img alt="chandra_ixpe_v3magentahires.jpeg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="75.10" height="540" width="636" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/HK9WjB0Dc5ReqGHRJBrCfSoKo5U=/0x0:985x836/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:985x836):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23243544/chandra_ixpe_v3magentahires.jpeg">
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					<picture data-cdata='{"asset_id":23243544,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1644953758_4279_447650"></picture> Image: NASA
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			<p id="pWo0rB">
				Cassiopeia A is the <a href="https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/ixpe/overview.html" rel="external nofollow">first of about 40 objects</a> NASA says it will study during IXPE’s first year. In addition to exploring supernovae, the mission could answer questions about objects like black holes, including how they spin and whether the black hole that sits in the center of our Milky Way once fed on surrounding material. Since space events can’t be recreated in a lab, IXPE can be a tool to answering key questions, small and large, about the physics of extreme environments.
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<p>
	<a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/2/15/22934793/nasa-supernova-ixpe-cassiopeia-stars-images" rel="external nofollow">NASA reveals first images from its new X-ray mission</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4307</guid><pubDate>Tue, 15 Feb 2022 20:43:30 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>The Quest to Make a Digital Replica of Your Brain</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/the-quest-to-make-a-digital-replica-of-your-brain-r4305/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
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					<strong>Digital twins are already used in manufacturing, industry, and aerospace. Now a European project called Neurotwin wants to make virtual copies of brains.</strong>
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								Digital twins—virtual representations of real-world things—are already a mainstay in manufacturing, industry, and aerospace: There are digital doppelgängers of <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-19/why-cities-want-digital-twins-to-manage-traffic"}' data-offer-url="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-19/why-cities-want-digital-twins-to-manage-traffic" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-19/why-cities-want-digital-twins-to-manage-traffic" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">cities</a>, <a href="https://www.wired.co.uk/article/rotterdam-port-ships-automation" rel="external nofollow">ports</a>, and <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.ice.org.uk/knowledge-and-resources/case-studies/digital-twins-for-building-flexibility-into-power"}' data-offer-url="https://www.ice.org.uk/knowledge-and-resources/case-studies/digital-twins-for-building-flexibility-into-power" href="https://www.ice.org.uk/knowledge-and-resources/case-studies/digital-twins-for-building-flexibility-into-power" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">power stations</a>. The term was first introduced <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/2015_nasa_technology_roadmaps_ta_12_materials_structures_final.pdf"}' data-offer-url="https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/2015_nasa_technology_roadmaps_ta_12_materials_structures_final.pdf" href="https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/2015_nasa_technology_roadmaps_ta_12_materials_structures_final.pdf" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">in 2010</a> by  NASA researcher John Vickers in a report about the agency’s technology road maps, and industry analysts estimate the market for digital twins could reach nearly <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.marketsandmarkets.com/PressReleases/digital-twin.asp"}' data-offer-url="https://www.marketsandmarkets.com/PressReleases/digital-twin.asp" href="https://www.marketsandmarkets.com/PressReleases/digital-twin.asp" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">$50 billion</a> by the year 2026. 
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								It wasn’t long before the idea crept into biology. In 2016, Bill Ruh, then-CEO of GE Digital, <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/BL-CIOB-8898"}' data-offer-url="https://www.wsj.com/articles/BL-CIOB-8898" href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/BL-CIOB-8898" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">predicted</a> that “we will have a digital twin at birth, and it will take data off of the sensors everybody is running, and that digital twin will predict things for us about disease and cancer and other things.” A digital twin could inform tailored treatments for a patient and predict how their disease might develop. It could even be used to trial potential treatments, rather than testing them on the patient—a process that can be filled with risk. 
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								So far, these projects are mostly in their early stages. A research program called <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://echoes-digitaltwin.org/"}' data-offer-url="https://echoes-digitaltwin.org/" href="https://echoes-digitaltwin.org/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">Echoes</a>, involving researchers in Europe, the United Kingdom, and the United States, is working to build a digital heart. Siemens Healthineers, a German medical device company, is aiming <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.siemens-healthineers.com/perspectives/mso-solutions-for-individual-patients.html"}' data-offer-url="https://www.siemens-healthineers.com/perspectives/mso-solutions-for-individual-patients.html" href="https://www.siemens-healthineers.com/perspectives/mso-solutions-for-individual-patients.html" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">to do the same</a>. Dassault Systèmes, a French software company, teamed up with the US Food and Drug Administration to approve what it calls “<a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://slate.com/technology/2016/02/dassaults-living-heart-project-and-the-future-of-digital-twins-in-health-care.html"}' data-offer-url="https://slate.com/technology/2016/02/dassaults-living-heart-project-and-the-future-of-digital-twins-in-health-care.html" href="https://slate.com/technology/2016/02/dassaults-living-heart-project-and-the-future-of-digital-twins-in-health-care.html" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">The Living Heart</a>.” Austrian company Golem is <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://golem.at/index.php?id=digital-twin-for-ambient-assisted-living"}' data-offer-url="https://golem.at/index.php?id=digital-twin-for-ambient-assisted-living" href="https://golem.at/index.php?id=digital-twin-for-ambient-assisted-living" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">creating digital twins</a> of vulnerable people who live alone. The idea is that the digital twin continuously monitors their health, alerting caregivers if they fall ill and need help. 
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								Now researchers are shooting for the loftiest goal: to twin the brain. <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.neurotwin.eu/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.neurotwin.eu/" href="https://www.neurotwin.eu/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">Neurotwin</a>, an EU-funded project, wants to design a computerized model of an individual patient’s entire brain. 
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								The Neurotwin team is hoping the model can be used to predict the effects of stimulation for the treatment of neurological disorders, including epilepsy and Alzheimer’s disease. They’re planning a clinical trial that will kick off next year and create digital twins of about 60 patients with Alzheimer’s, who will receive a brain stimulation treatment that has been optimized specifically for their brain. A second clinical trial planned for 2023 will do the same, but for patients with treatment-resistant focal epilepsy. Both are proof-of-concept trials to determine whether the approach works and can improve treatment outcomes for these patients. If successful, the team plans to extend their technology to study other aspects of the brain, such as those involved in multiple sclerosis, stroke rehabilitation, depression, and the effects of psychedelics. 
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								For about a third of epilepsy patients, <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.epilepsy.com/learn/drug-resistant-epilepsy"}' data-offer-url="https://www.epilepsy.com/learn/drug-resistant-epilepsy" href="https://www.epilepsy.com/learn/drug-resistant-epilepsy" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">drugs don’t help</a>. Noninvasive stimulation, in which electrical currents are painlessly delivered to the brain, has been <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://bioelecmed.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s42234-020-00054-4"}' data-offer-url="https://bioelecmed.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s42234-020-00054-4" href="https://bioelecmed.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s42234-020-00054-4" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">shown to help</a> alleviate the frequency and intensity of seizures. But the technology is still pretty new and needs some refining. This is where a virtual brain could prove useful. 
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								The digital avatar is essentially a mathematical model running on a computer, says Giulio Ruffini, coordinator of the Neurotwin project and chief science officer and cofounder of Neuroelectrics, a Spanish health tech startup that is developing noninvasive therapies for neurological disorders like epilepsy. To make a digital double for a patient with epilepsy, the Neurotwin team takes about half an hour’s worth of MRI data and about 10 minutes of EEG (electroencephalography) readings and uses these to create a computer model that captures the electrical activity of the brain, as well as to realistically simulate the brain’s main tissues, including the scalp, skull, cerebrospinal fluid, and gray and white matter. 
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								The twin will include a network of embedded “neural mass models,” says Ruffini. These, he says, are basically computational models of the average behavior of many neurons connected to each other using the patient's “connectome”—a map of the neural connections in the brain. In the case of epilepsy, some areas of the connectome could become overexcited; in the case of, say, stroke, the connectome might be altered. Once the twin has been created, the team can use it to optimize stimulation of the real patient’s brain “because we can run endless simulations on the computer until we find what we need,” Ruffini says. “It is, in this sense, like a weather forecasting computational model.”
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								For example, to improve treatment for an epilepsy patient, the person would wear a headcap every day for 20 minutes as it delivers transcranial electrical stimulations to their brain. Using the digital twin, Ruffini and his team could optimize the position of stimulating electrodes, as well as the level of current being applied. 
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								Digital twinning any organ opens up a whole host of ethical questions. For example, would a patient have the right to know—or to refrain from knowing—if, say, their twin predicts that they’ll have a heart attack in two weeks? What happens to the twin after the patient dies? Will it have its own legal or ethical rights? 
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								On the one hand, virtual body doubles provide us with exciting, revolutionary pathways to develop new treatments, says Matthias Braun, an ethicist at the University of Erlangen-Nürnberg, Germany, who has <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://jme.bmj.com/content/47/6/394"}' data-offer-url="https://jme.bmj.com/content/47/6/394" href="https://jme.bmj.com/content/47/6/394" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">written about</a> the ethics involved in the use of digital twins in health care. “But, on the other hand, it provides us with challenges,” he continues. For one thing, who should own a digital twin? The company building it? “Or do you have a right to say, well, I refuse the use of specific information or specific predictions with regard to my health insurance or with regard to the use in other contexts? In order to not be an infringement on autonomy or privacy, it is important that this specific person has control of the use [of their digital twin],” he says. Losing that control would result in what Braun dubs “digital slavery.” 
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								Ana Maiques, the CEO of Neuroelectrics, says the company is already grappling with the issue of what happens to the extremely personal data a digital twin is built upon. “When you're doing these kinds of personalizations, you have to ask difficult questions, right? Who's going to own that data? What are you going to do with data?” she asks. 
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								The project has enlisted researchers to dissect the ethical and philosophical components of the endeavor, including Manuel Guerrero, a neuroethicist at the University of Uppsala, Sweden. For Neurotwin, a project based out of Europe, the data gathered will be protected by the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR). This means any use of the data requires the consent of its owner, Guerrero says. 
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								Guerrero and his team are also exploring whether the term “digital twin,” which was first coined for manufacturing, is still the most apt term for copying something as intricate and dynamic as a living brain or heart. Could its use lead to misunderstandings or raised expectations within society? “[The brain] is much more complex than other types of twins that are coming from the manufacturing system, so the notion of a twin for the brain is something that, within the neuroscientific community, is being debated,” he says. 
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								And taking on the brain is many orders of magnitude more complex than modeling the heart or kidney, in addition to being potentially more ethically complex. “We are creating fairly sophisticated computational models of the brain,” Ruffini says. “At some stage, I think it will become blurry to what extent this digital twin is a digital twin or it's a sentient being.” 
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								Braun says it’s time to reckon with these thorny questions. “To me, these are really important challenges we have to face now,” he says. “We know what happens if you just say, ‘Well, just develop a technology—and then we'll see,’” he adds, warning of the dangers that come with pushing ethical and moral consequences off to a later date. 
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								But the Neurotwin team says that, if done right, this digital twinning could dramatically improve both patient outcomes and what we know about tricky-to-treat brain disorders. “We are working to really help people suffering from brain diseases from a completely different perspective,” says Maiques. “We like to call it a new category of therapeutics, where you're really using the power of physics and math to decode the brain.”
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	<a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-quest-to-make-a-digital-replica-of-your-brain/" rel="external nofollow">The Quest to Make a Digital Replica of Your Brain</a>
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]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4305</guid><pubDate>Tue, 15 Feb 2022 20:25:10 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>For Insect Farming to Work, Scientists Need to Build a Better Bug</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/for-insect-farming-to-work-scientists-need-to-build-a-better-bug-r4304/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
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					<strong>Faster-growing, fatter critters could provide the protein needed to raise more climate-friendly livestock and pets.</strong>
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								Christine Picard’s search for a better bug to feed the world starts with dead bodies. Well, not the corpses themselves, but the blow flies, flesh flies, and other squirmy, wriggly things that wing their way to corpses in the minutes and hours after death. Picard, a forensic entomologist at Indiana University–Purdue University Indianapolis, studies why some insects grow much more quickly than others. This is important for criminal investigations, because the maturity and type of insects found on a body can help nail down exactly when someone died. But Picard’s research on corpse-munching flies is starting to have an effect way beyond autopsy reports: Now her focus is on food.
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								Don’t worry. It’s (mostly) not for you.
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								The booming insect farming industry is becoming extremely interested in what makes some larvae grow faster and fatter than others. In 2021, Picard became one of the lead researchers at the Center for Environmental Sustainability Through Insect Farming, a new US-based research center that wants to make farming insects much more efficient. Although the industry is growing, by pure numbers it is still relatively puny: European farms only produced a <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://ipiff.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Apr-27-2021-IPIFF_The-European-market-of-insects-as-feed.pdf"}' data-offer-url="https://ipiff.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Apr-27-2021-IPIFF_The-European-market-of-insects-as-feed.pdf" href="https://ipiff.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/Apr-27-2021-IPIFF_The-European-market-of-insects-as-feed.pdf" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">few thousand tons of insect protein</a> in 2020, a drop in the ocean compared to other sources of protein. These small production numbers keep the price of farmed insects high. One way to solve the problem is to selectively breed fatter and faster-growing bugs—the same approach that the livestock industry has used for centuries to make farm animals more productive.
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								Breeding better bugs is a high-stakes endeavor. There are now <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.bugburger.se/foretag/the-eating-insects-startups-here-is-the-list-of-entopreneurs-around-the-world/#farmers"}' data-offer-url="https://www.bugburger.se/foretag/the-eating-insects-startups-here-is-the-list-of-entopreneurs-around-the-world/#farmers" href="https://www.bugburger.se/foretag/the-eating-insects-startups-here-is-the-list-of-entopreneurs-around-the-world/#farmers" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">dozens of startups</a> farming insects to sell as ingredients in pet, livestock, and human food. Insects have long been touted as a healthy, low-carbon source of protein that provides an antidote to animal agriculture’s many ills, like <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-controversial-quest-to-make-cow-burps-less-noxious/" rel="external nofollow">methane-burping cows</a> and chicken farms that fuel the growth of <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/antibiotic-use-in-us-farm-animals-was-falling-now-its-not/" rel="external nofollow">antibiotic resistant bacteria</a>. If more of us could join the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.fao.org/3/i3264e/i3264e00.pdf"}' data-offer-url="https://www.fao.org/3/i3264e/i3264e00.pdf" href="https://www.fao.org/3/i3264e/i3264e00.pdf" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">2 billion or so people</a> who already eat insects, then we might start putting a dent in the 14.5 percent of all greenhouse gas emissions that currently come <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/197623/icode/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/197623/icode/" href="https://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/197623/icode/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">from farming livestock</a>.
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								But you might have noticed that the much-promised future of cricket smoothies for breakfast, <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/eating-cicadas-brood-x/" rel="external nofollow">cicada sushi</a> for dinner, and mealworm cookies for dessert hasn’t quite materialized yet. Instead, it’s animals—our pets and livestock—that are really driving the edible insect revolution. In Australia, dogs can <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.buggybix.com.au/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.buggybix.com.au/" href="https://www.buggybix.com.au/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">chow down on pumpkin</a> and mealworm biscuits made by Buggy Bix. In Europe, the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://en.tomojo.co/collections/croquettes-et-friandises-pour-chien"}' data-offer-url="https://en.tomojo.co/collections/croquettes-et-friandises-pour-chien" href="https://en.tomojo.co/collections/croquettes-et-friandises-pour-chien" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">brand Tomojo</a> sells all kinds of animal treats supplemented with black soldier fly larvae. Mars, the world’s largest pet food manufacturer, now sells its own brand of insect-supplemented <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.lovebugpetfood.com/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.lovebugpetfood.com/" href="https://www.lovebugpetfood.com/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">food for cats and dogs</a>. For now, pet food is the largest market for <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.feednavigator.com/Article/2021/02/24/Demand-for-insect-protein-could-hit-500-000-tons-by-2030"}' data-offer-url="https://www.feednavigator.com/Article/2021/02/24/Demand-for-insect-protein-could-hit-500-000-tons-by-2030" href="https://www.feednavigator.com/Article/2021/02/24/Demand-for-insect-protein-could-hit-500-000-tons-by-2030" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">insect protein</a>.
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								Antoine Hubert, CEO of the French insect-farming startup Ÿnsect, says that the ground mealworms he sells to pet food firms makes up more than 50 percent of his company’s revenue. Pet owners pay a premium to feed their animals food with a lower environmental impact. “It’s where the market adoption has been the biggest,” says Hubert. Although the meat component of pet food typically comes from the bits of animals that humans don’t always eat, it still has a sizable environmental impact. One 2020 study from the University of Edinburgh found that the production of dry pet food alone is <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0959378020307366?dgcid=author#!"}' data-offer-url="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0959378020307366?dgcid=author#!" href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0959378020307366?dgcid=author#!" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">responsible for between 1 and 3 percent</a> of global emissions from agriculture.
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								But feeding pets is only the beginning for insect farming. In 2022, for the first time the EU will <a href="https://www.wired.co.uk/article/insects-pigs-poultry" rel="external nofollow">allow farmers to feed insects to pigs and poultry</a>—a reversal of rules that banned feed made from animal remains in the wake of the mad cow disease outbreak in the mid-1990s. The poultry and pig feed market is huge: There are <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Agricultural_production_-_livestock_and_meat#:~:text=In%202020%2C%20there%20were%20146,and%20goats%20in%20the%20EU.&amp;text=Just%20over%20half%20of%20the,23.0%20million%20tonnes)%20in%202020."}' data-offer-url="https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Agricultural_production_-_livestock_and_meat#:~:text=In%202020%2C%20there%20were%20146,and%20goats%20in%20the%20EU.&amp;text=Just%20over%20half%20of%20the,23.0%20million%20tonnes)%20in%202020." href="https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Agricultural_production_-_livestock_and_meat#:~:text=In%202020%2C%20there%20were%20146,and%20goats%20in%20the%20EU.&amp;text=Just%20over%20half%20of%20the,23.0%20million%20tonnes)%20in%202020." rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">146 million pigs</a> in the EU and 7.2 billion chickens are slaughtered for meat <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.compassioninfoodbusiness.com/media/5819738/chicken-meat-production-in-the-eu.pdf"}' data-offer-url="https://www.compassioninfoodbusiness.com/media/5819738/chicken-meat-production-in-the-eu.pdf" href="https://www.compassioninfoodbusiness.com/media/5819738/chicken-meat-production-in-the-eu.pdf" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">there every year</a>. Even supplying a tiny slice of this market with insect protein would require massively boosting insect production. Ÿnsect is currently building one of the world’s largest insect farms in northern France, but scaling up to feed pigs and poultry would require hundreds of similar farms, Hubert says.
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								It’ll also require more meatier and faster-growing bugs. One of the major components of chicken feed is soy, which is extremely cheap and widely used across the world. If insect farmers want to start replacing cheap commodity crops like soy, then they’ll need to find a way to bring down costs.
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								That’s where insect geneticists like Picard come in. “There’s just not enough production right now,” she says. Tuure Parviainen, CEO of Finnish insect farming startup Volare, agrees. “The demand is there, but the production needs to be taken to quite a large scale for the big producers to actually start making a product,” he says. This is just as true for pet food as it is for poultry: The volumes are so huge that big manufacturers aren’t quite ready to go all-in on insects. “The supply is not really there so that they could flip a switch and change ingredients yet,” says Parviainen.
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								One way to ramp up is to make sure that insect farms are as productive as possible. Scotland-based startup Beta Bugs runs breeding programs to develop more productive versions of the black soldier fly—one of the most commonly farmed insects. “What we have is effectively a very kind of raw material which can then be improved through selective breeding,” says CEO Thomas Farrugia. “Increasingly I think people are starting to realize that this is how we make the industry scale over time.”
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								Fortunately for insect breeders like Farrugia, time is on their side. Although it might have taken humans thousands of years of breeding to come up with modern cow varieties, insects have much, much shorter life cycles. A black soldier fly is ready to harvest about 14 days after hatching. Its entire life cycle can take around six weeks. “What this means is that you can cram a hell of a lot of selective breeding in a year,” says Farrugia. The trick to breeding a better bug, Farrugia says, is to balance different traits off against each other. You could have one variety of bug that produces lots and lots of skinny larvae, or another that produces a smaller number of fatter young. As larvae mature, the nutrients inside them also change, so one of the tricks of breeding is hitting the sweet spot between fat, juicy bugs and those that are at the right stage in their life cycle.
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								That said, they don’t want insects that mature too quickly, because the insects are shipped to insect farms while they’re still in the egg stage, to make sure they’re fresh when they arrive. Beta Bugs breeds its black soldier flies in a facility just outside of Edinburgh. From there, eggs are packaged and sent across the EU. Picking the right courier is key, Farrugia says. Black soldier fly eggs hatch in about four days, so if a package is delayed the customer may end up with a delivery that is slightly more alive than they anticipated.
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								In France, Ÿnsect has launched a breeding program to study the genetics of Tenebrio molitor, the mealworm beetle. The company <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"http://www.ynsect.com/en/ynsect-launches-ynfabre-the-worlds-first-industrial-programme-dedicated-to-beetle-genetics/"}' data-offer-url="http://www.ynsect.com/en/ynsect-launches-ynfabre-the-worlds-first-industrial-programme-dedicated-to-beetle-genetics/" href="http://www.ynsect.com/en/ynsect-launches-ynfabre-the-worlds-first-industrial-programme-dedicated-to-beetle-genetics/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">has already collaborated</a> with the French national center of genome sequencing, Genoscope, to sequence the mealworm’s genome and has also identified a strain of the buffalo worm, a close relative of the mealworm, that grows 25 percent faster than the original strain.
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					<div data-journey-hook="client-content" data-testid="BodyWrapper">
						<div>
							<p>
								There is a huge amount of genetic diversity inside insects just waiting to be discovered, Picard says. Fruit flies and black soldier flies diverged from each other around <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://academic.oup.com/sysbio/article/52/6/745/1633619"}' data-offer-url="https://academic.oup.com/sysbio/article/52/6/745/1633619" href="https://academic.oup.com/sysbio/article/52/6/745/1633619" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">200 million years ago</a>, so the differences between species can be huge. Some are generalists, munching on any kind of waste, while others prefer specialized diets of manure or certain fruits. This might make certain species particularly suited to specific tasks. The oil from mealworms could be a suitable <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/can-synthetic-palm-oil-help-save-the-worlds-tropical-forests/" rel="external nofollow">replacement for palm oil</a>, for example, while others might have the specific nutrients that piglets need. We already have different cows for different kinds of beef, Farrugia points out. It might be just a matter of time until we’re chowing down on Angus Aberdeen mealworms, too.
							</p>
						</div>
					</div>
				</div>
			</div>
		</div>
	</div>
</div>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://www.wired.com/story/insect-pet-animal-food/" rel="external nofollow">For Insect Farming to Work, Scientists Need to Build a Better Bug</a>
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	(May require free registration to view)
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4304</guid><pubDate>Tue, 15 Feb 2022 20:22:19 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Booster protection from omicron hospital stay dips from 91% to 78%</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/booster-protection-from-omicron-hospital-stay-dips-from-91-to-78-r4299/</link><description><![CDATA[<header>
	<h2 itemprop="description">
		Despite inevitable waning, protection against severe disease still looks strong.
	</h2>
</header>

<section>
	<div itemprop="articleBody">
		<p>
			COVID-19 booster doses are largely holding up against the ultratransmissible omicron variant, despite the fact that protection inevitably wanes over time, according to a<a href="https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7107e2.htm?s_cid=mm7107e2_w" rel="external nofollow"> recent study published by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention</a>.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Still, with the boosters' inevitable waning and omicron's ability to dodge some immune responses, fourth doses may be needed in the future to sustain or improve protection against COVID-19, the study authors note.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			The study, published in the CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, estimated booster effectiveness against severe disease and hospitalizations. It charted a slight decline in booster effectiveness from less than two months after a booster dose to over four or five months after the third jab. The latter time frame is the latest for which there is available booster data, based on when the shots became widely offered. The study collected data from patients in 10 states, including from over 240,000 visits to emergency rooms or urgent care centers and more than 93,000 hospitalizations.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Overall, booster doses greatly improved protection against omicron and largely held over time. In people who had a third shot of any of the mRNA vaccines within two months, the booster was estimated to be 91 percent effective against hospitalization for an omicron infection. That vaccine effectiveness estimate dropped to 88 percent if a person was two-to-three months out from their booster. Effectiveness dropped to 78 percent four or more months out.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			In terms of protecting against an omicron-caused emergency room or urgent care visit, a third shot of any mRNA vaccine given within two months was 87 percent effective. That effectiveness dipped to 81 percent two-to-three months after the booster and then to 66 percent at four or more months after the shot. The study also had data on 18 COVID-19 patients who were five or more months out from a third shot and needed emergency or urgent care. From those patients, the study authors estimated a vaccine effectiveness of 31 percent. However, the numbers are simply too small to make that a reliable calculation; the 95 percent confidence interval on the calculation ranged from -50 to 68.
		</p>

		<h2>
			Limitations
		</h2>

		<p>
			While that 66 percent effectiveness at four months may also seem concerning, it's important to note that the study authors also estimated the effectiveness of just two shots. At five or more months out from two shots, vaccine effectiveness was just 37 percent against an emergency or urgent care visit for an omicron infection.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			The study had a strong design. Its test-negative setup compared the odds of unvaccinated and vaccinated people testing positive for COVID-19 using models. Those models accounted for calendar week and each patients' location, age, local virus transmission levels, immunocompromised status, additional underlying health conditions, and other factors.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			But there were also several limitations. As noted above, the small amount of data on people who were five or more months out from their booster makes vaccine effectiveness estimates for that time frame unreliable. The study also was not able to distinguish between <a href="https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/recommendations/immuno.html" rel="external nofollow">third doses and booster doses for the immunocompromised</a>, who are recommended to get a third dose as part of their primary series and a booster dose later. People who are moderately to severely immunocompromised are recommended to get a three-dose primary series because two doses alone do not provide the same levels of protection seen in non-immunocompromised people. Thus, if the study captured immunocompromised people getting a third dose, rather than a fourth, it might skew effectiveness estimates lower.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Overall, the study authors concluded that the data made a strong argument for boosters, even if they're not the last shots we may need. "These findings underscore the importance of receiving a third dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccine to prevent both COVID-19–associated ED/UC [emergency department and urgent care] encounters and COVID-19 hospitalizations among adults," they conclude. "The finding that protection conferred by mRNA vaccines waned in the months after receipt of a third vaccine dose reinforces the importance of further consideration of additional doses to sustain or improve protection against COVID-19–associated ED/UC encounters and COVID-19 hospitalizations."
		</p>
	</div>
</section>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/02/cdc-boosters-mostly-holding-against-omicron-but-4th-shots-may-still-be-ahead/" rel="external nofollow">Booster protection from omicron hospital stay dips from 91% to 78%</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4299</guid><pubDate>Tue, 15 Feb 2022 03:46:23 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>The best and worst car commercials of the 2022 Super Bowl</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/the-best-and-worst-car-commercials-of-the-2022-super-bowl-r4281/</link><description><![CDATA[<header>
	<h2 itemprop="description">
		Almost all the ads were for new electric vehicles, which seems like progress.
	</h2>
</header>

<section>
	<div itemprop="articleBody">
		<p>
			For some people—mostly those who aren't football fans—the commercials that accompany the Super Bowl are as important as the game itself. In 2022, we got a conflicting vision of the future—almost all the automakers showed off new electric vehicles as they try to wean themselves off dirty fossil fuels, a move surely counteracted by all the energy-sucking crypto startups also shilling their wares with on-screen QR codes between downs.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			What follows is one automotive editor's ranking of the various Super Bowl LVI car commercials.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/HoNMz_OV_dI?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			First place goes to Kia for its Robo Dog commercial that advertises the new Kia EV6 electric crossover. It's a heartwarming story of a robot dachshund that goes on an adventure chasing an EV6, with a little demonstration of that car's vehicle-to-load function that allows its giant battery to power AC devices, all set to Bonnie Tyler's best hair-rock.
		</p>

		<p>
			<a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2022/01/kias-new-ev6-electric-crossover-goes-straight-to-the-head-of-the-pack/" rel="external nofollow">We drove the EV6 last month</a>, and it was extremely impressive, with good vehicle dynamics, great efficiency, and 18-minute DC fast-charging times.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/nUC1QA5gRcU?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Second place belongs to BMW, which must have needed a big money wallet to pay for both Salma Hayek and Arnold Schwarzenegger. They play Hera and Zeus, the Greek gods. They've now retired and live in Palm Springs, and they drive an iX, <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2021/09/forget-the-looks-love-the-tech-the-83200-bmw-ix-electric-suv/" rel="external nofollow">BMW's new flagship electric SUV</a>.
		</p>

		<p>
			The actual commercial itself wasn't quite as charming as Kia's, and the iX was beaten <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2021/12/ars-technicas-top-10-cars-trucks-and-suvs-of-2021/" rel="external nofollow">in our 2021 top cars of the year list</a> by the EV6's close sibling (the Hyundai Ioniq 5), which is why I'm only awarding BMW second place. But the ad makers do deserve credit for filming the iX from its best angles.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/B4QI0VzbkHk?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Polestar takes the final podium position with its "No Compromises" ad. Unlike most of the rest of the automotive Super Bowl ads, this eschewed big-name actors and even a color palette. Instead, stark black-and-white visuals and a Hans Zimmer-like score promote <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2020/08/the-2021-polestar-2-has-a-great-cabin-and-deep-android-integration/" rel="external nofollow">the Polestar 2 EV</a>, promising "no compromises, no epic voice-overs, no punchlines, no Dieselgate, no dirty secrets, and no conquering Mars, among other things.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/83xu4O_eIcM?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Hyundai's Ioniq 5 beat the BMW iX in the roundup of the best new cars we drove last year, but I'm only awarding Hyundai's Ioniq 5 commercial fourth place, because it just wasn't as catchy to me. (This is a very unscientific ranking, sorry.)
		</p>

		<p>
			<a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2021/12/the-hyundai-ioniq-5-is-the-best-ev-weve-driven-in-2021/" rel="external nofollow">But the Ioniq 5 is a spectacularly good EV</a>. It shares its technology with the EV6, so that means great efficiency and very fast charging. It's not quite as much of a peach to drive as the Kia, but it is slightly roomier inside, and the 16-bit styling pushes all the right buttons if you're a GenXer like me.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/uEuEBT0TWQE?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			General Motors gave us Dr. EV-iL, a sequel of sorts to the Austin Powers franchise that sees Mike Myers reprise his famous not-a-Bond-villain. He's joined by Seth Green, Rob Lowe, and Mindy Sterling, and they realize that if they want to take over the world, first they have to save it from climate change. So they drive some of GM's forthcoming new EVs, <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2020/10/american-excess-is-back-with-the-1000hp-2022-gmc-hummer-ev-truck/" rel="external nofollow">the Hummer EV</a>, a <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2022/01/chevrolet-shows-off-the-2024-silverado-ev-its-first-electric-pickup/" rel="external nofollow">Chevrolet Silverado EV</a>, and a <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2021/04/everything-we-know-about-the-59990-electric-cadillac-lyriq/" rel="external nofollow">Cadillac Lyric</a>.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/8o7rJgJyF8c?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Porsche also crossed over into a well-known film franchise with its Super Bowl ad—Top Gun, the sequel to which finally airs in theaters this coming May. Unlike some of the other celebrity-starring commercials, Tom Cruise only appears here in clips from the upcoming Top Gun: Maverick, interspersed with footage of some of Porsche's creations, from an old 911 to its Mission R electric race car concept.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/2bZYqFsU72Y?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Despite GM's Dr. EV-il ad, Chevrolet also booked its own time during the Super Bowl. Fans of The Sopranos no doubt pricked their ears instantly at the sound of Alabama 3's "Woke Up This Morning." Sadly for those fans, this did not herald a new series of the Mafia drama, but it did feature Jamie-Lynn Sigler, who played Meadow Soprano. I deducted points from this entry because <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2022/01/chevrolet-shows-off-the-2024-silverado-ev-its-first-electric-pickup/" rel="external nofollow">the Silverado EV</a> that Meadow drives looks like it's a CGI render, not a real vehicle.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/AtQIz5pkwwg?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Toyota leaned in to a "keeping up with the Joneses" theme for 2022's Super Bowl. Tommy Lee Jones, Rashida Jones, and Leslie Jones all star, alongside Nick Jonas (kind of a Jones?), all driving Toyota's new Tundra pickup truck. Unlike the Silverado EV, the Tundra is on sale now, and while it isn't an EV, it is at least a hybrid.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
			<div>
				<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/6q1hCi3Zs_w?feature=oembed"></iframe>
			</div>
		</div>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Finally, we have a smoldering-looking Eugene Levy in Nissan's "Thrill Driver." This Fast and Furious-style teaser actually follows a longer Nissan ad from earlier in February, starring Levy alongside Brie Larson, Danai Gurira, and Dave Bautista, advertising Nissan's forthcoming Z sports car.
		</p>
	</div>
</section>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2022/02/the-best-and-worst-car-commercials-of-the-2022-super-bowl/" rel="external nofollow">The best and worst car commercials of the 2022 Super Bowl</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4281</guid><pubDate>Mon, 14 Feb 2022 21:04:32 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>France to cut carbon emissions, Russian energy influence with 14 nuclear reactors</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/france-to-cut-carbon-emissions-russian-energy-influence-with-14-nuclear-reactors-r4280/</link><description><![CDATA[<header>
	<h2 itemprop="description">
		Announcement comes amid heightened concerns over climate and energy sovereignty.
	</h2>
</header>

<section>
	<div itemprop="articleBody">
		<p>
			France is planning to build up to 14 nuclear reactors in an attempt to shore up the country’s aging nuclear fleet while also reducing the country’s carbon emissions. And while the first reactors won’t open for years, the announcement could serve to undercut Russia’s attempts to keep Europe dependent on natural gas.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			President Emmanuel Macron announced the decision last week, saying that state-backed Électricité de France, also known as EDF, will build six new plants starting in 2028, with the option to build another eight by 2050. EDF estimates that six next-generation pressurized water reactors will cost around €50 billion ($57 billion). The first could be commissioned as early as 2035.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>
		The move is a sharp reversal of Macron’s earlier pledge to close several reactors over the next decade or so. National politics almost certainly play a role—the nuclear power sector in France employs around 220,000 people, according to <a href="https://www.capgemini.com/resources/how-can-the-french-nuclear-industry-remain-at-the-cutting-edge-of-excellence/" rel="external nofollow">one estimate</a>. “What our country needs is the rebirth of France’s nuclear industry,” Macron <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/10/world/europe/france-macron-nuclear-power.html" rel="external nofollow">said</a> at a nuclear turbine factory that EDF had just purchased from GE. “The time has come for a nuclear renaissance,” he said.

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Macron also said that EDF will build a prototype small modular reactor, or SMR, by 2030. <a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/09/first-modular-nuclear-reactor-design-certified-in-the-us/" rel="external nofollow">SMRs</a> are fission reactors that are designed to be built in a factory and transported to their final destination. They generally produce less than 1 MW of power and are intended to be more economical than traditional reactors, which are constructed on-site. EDF will face stiff competition from numerous companies, from heavyweights like Westinghouse to startups like NuScale and Chinese firms like China Huaneng Group, which are pushing to commercialize SMRs.
		</p>

		<h2>
			Nuclear powerhouse
		</h2>

		<p>
			France is home to one of the world’s largest nuclear fleets—with 56 reactors, it’s second only to the US. Last year, nuclear power generated two-thirds of the country’s electricity, providing a striking contrast to neighboring Germany, which is on track to shut down its last nuclear power plant by the end of this year.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			France began building nuclear power plants in earnest in the 1970s in response to the oil crisis, starting construction on nine reactors in 1975 alone. Not only did government policy help remake the French energy sector, but it also transformed the French economy by facilitating the development of the TGV, the all-electric, high-speed trains that have become a symbol of French engineering.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			The 1970s building spree means that many of France’s reactors are reaching the end of their expected lives. The new reactors would help maintain the country’s nuclear power output, but since they won’t come online for more than a decade, there could be a significant gap if too many plants are retired. Maintenance problems knocked up to 30 percent of the French fleet offline this winter as EDF battled cracks and corrosion in pipes in some of its plants. That forced France to boost its reliance on coal, both from power plants within the country and from German electricity imports.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			To forestall the retirements, Macron said he would seek to extend the lifespan of some nuclear reactors from the current 40 years to more than 50 years if it could be done safely. 
		</p>

		<h2>
			Geopolitical considerations
		</h2>
		France’s new plans were announced less than two weeks after the <a href="https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/02/eu-plans-to-label-natural-gas-and-nuclear-power-plants-sustainable/" rel="external nofollow">EU announced that nuclear power would be considered “sustainable,”</a> a decision that was subject to intense lobbying by the French government. 

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			It also comes at a time of heightened tensions with Russia and its president, Vladimir Putin. Russia has flooded the EU with cheap natural gas, leaving the bloc dependent on the country for much of its energy. In 2020, the EU received more than 40 percent of its natural gas from Russia. The Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which could double Russian exports to the region, appears likely to increase the bloc’s dependence. Macron’s announcement, while possibly coincidental, could signal that France is interested in taking over as Europe’s power center. 
		</p>
	</div>
</section>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/02/france-to-cut-carbon-emissions-russian-energy-influence-with-14-nuclear-reactors/" rel="external nofollow">France to cut carbon emissions, Russian energy influence with 14 nuclear reactors</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4280</guid><pubDate>Mon, 14 Feb 2022 21:01:12 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>A rocket is still set to slam into the Moon next month &#x2014; but it may not be from SpaceX after all</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/a-rocket-is-still-set-to-slam-into-the-moon-next-month-%E2%80%94-but-it-may-not-be-from-spacex-after-all-r4272/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
	<figure>
		<figcaption>
			<p>
				<strong>Mistaken rocket identity</strong>
			</p>

			<p>
				 
			</p>

			<p>
				<img alt="PIA00404_large.0.jpeg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="75.10" height="479" width="720" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Vq5ky5cOTAhzzrRmTVsAnBFyVcA=/0x0:1920x1920/920x613/filters:focal(364x793:670x1099):format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/70504536/PIA00404_large.0.jpeg">
			</p>

			<p>
				A mosaic image of the Moon’s north pole, taken by NASA’s Galileo spacecraft
			</p>
		</figcaption>
		Image: NASA/JPL/USGS
	</figure>

	<div>
		<p id="dFDBeo">
			Last month, an astronomer and space tracking expert made a bit of a splash when <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/1/27/22904427/spacex-falcon-9-rocket-second-stage-moon-collision-deep-space-junk" rel="external nofollow">he predicted that a piece of an old SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket</a> left in space for the last seven years was going to collide with the Moon this March. But now he’s changing that prediction in a big way. While the rocket part he’s been tracking is still on a collision course with the Moon, he now believes that the vehicle is not an old Falcon 9 part, but an old Chinese rocket instead.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p id="HDDjCF">
			The update comes from Bill Gray, an astronomer and asteroid tracker running <a href="https://www.projectpluto.com/" rel="external nofollow">Project Pluto</a>, who has been following this doomed object since March of 2015. He says the object was first picked up by the Catalina Sky Survey, a program that uses telescopes near Tucson, Arizona to scan the sky for potentially dangerous asteroids that could pose a threat to Earth. When the survey found this particular object, other astronomers noticed that it wasn’t orbiting the Sun like asteroids typically do. It was actually orbiting the Earth, suggesting that the object was human made and something that we put into space ourselves.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p id="dxZWj2">
			A number of clues made Gray and others think that this object was one of SpaceX’s rockets. Specifically, they thought it was the top portion of <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2015/2/12/8024031/nasa-dscovr-rocket-deep-space-spacex-falcon-9-launch" rel="external nofollow">a Falcon 9 that had launched in February of 2015</a>, putting a valuable satellite called DSCOVR into a very distant orbit for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That rocket would have gone to a very high altitude to get the satellite to its destination, and this newly observed object had apparently passed by the Moon two days after the DSCOVR mission launched. Given those details and other characteristics of the object, Gray and others were pretty confident that the mystery junk was part of the Falcon 9 rocket that launched DSCOVR.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p id="a1u6ig">
			However, Gray admits that identifying objects like this isn’t always as solid as we’d want it to be. “I had pretty good circumstantial evidence for the identification, but nothing conclusive,” Gray <a href="https://www.projectpluto.com/temp/correct.htm" rel="external nofollow">wrote in a new blog post</a>, first reported by <a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/02/actually-a-falcon-9-rocket-is-not-going-to-hit-the-moon/" rel="external nofollow">Ars Technica</a>.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p id="mz3xxE">
			Now, this particular object has been getting a ton of attention, since Gray first predicted in January that the deep-space object would collide with the Moon on March 4th. But after taking a closer look at the object’s history and getting some new details from NASA, Gray is fairly convinced that this object is a leftover piece of a Chinese rocket, specifically a Long March 3C that launched China’s Chang’e 5-T1 mission to the Moon. That flight was a precursor mission that sent a capsule looping around the Moon and careening back to Earth, to test out technology China would use to bring samples of lunar dirt back to our planet.
		</p>

		<figure>
			<p>
				<picture data-cdata='{"asset_id":23239093,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1644779988_3941_1524746"> <source sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/dnKtIbGwtXAlZdu2gMIrXftGtmw=/0x0:3112x2108/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/gE5nE-U1TQZi3e1lxZCs8jofXJs=/0x0:3112x2108/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ll3if5St_yTJ29-lNH2kaH8cyro=/0x0:3112x2108/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/2qvW6wfnFJrFUCNyDxmCChdESaU=/0x0:3112x2108/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/GuqY8a3WAocRU1j2XEg3n4YRVG0=/0x0:3112x2108/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/3y4UzwaIdJlx_ozRdcL6cv42fuc=/0x0:3112x2108/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/n6ugyDLq6gXTvJyhSxqwpdj2Xdo=/0x0:3112x2108/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/wtwINMCXkKHqDd0kcY3p4auweds=/0x0:3112x2108/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/cU4k-1S9MsV_oIxDyWahDBzvWIA=/0x0:3112x2108/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg 1920w" type="image/webp">  </source></picture>
			</p>

			<p>
				<img alt="104589462.jpg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="75.10" height="487" width="720" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/2qvW6wfnFJrFUCNyDxmCChdESaU=/0x0:3112x2108/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3112x2108):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23239093/104589462.jpg">
			</p>

			<figcaption>
				China’s Long March 3C launching in 2010. Part of the same rocket is thought to be on a collision course with the Moon.
			</figcaption>
			Image: STR/AFP via Getty Images
		</figure>

		<p id="cZWDgo">
			Gray says he realized the case of mistaken identity when he got an email from someone at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory who keeps track of active space missions. JPL has its own tracking system, and the JPL employee argued that it was unlikely that the Falcon 9 would have passed close by the Moon two days after the DSCOVR launch. “He happened to think, ‘Wait a minute. I don’t remember that having gone past the Moon,’” Gray tells The Verge. “That caused him to dig into the historical data of where DSCOVR actually went.” Based on that mission’s trajectory, the Falcon 9 would have been in another part of space entirely when this object skimmed the Moon.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p id="Fd8iy2">
			So Gray went back in time to see if there were any other launches that could fit the bill for this object. That’s when he found the Chang’e 5-T1 mission, which launched in October of 2014. After reconstructing the probable orbit and trajectory for the mission, he realized that the Long March 3C rocket that launched the mission is now the best fit for this mystery object.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p id="gAgxFP">
			“I think we can say that we have a very solid chain of evidence for it,” Gray says. “Running the orbit back to launch for the Chinese spacecraft makes ample sense. It winds up with an orbit that goes past the Moon at the right time after launch.”
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p id="gAsLzW">
			Despite the confusion about the object’s identity, Gray says this is just further proof that we need more information about these rocket boosters that go to deep space. As Gray argues, some people’s general attitude toward these kinds of objects is that we don’t need to pay attention to them once they are in space, since they are so far out in orbit. As of now, no formal entity is consistently tracking leftover rockets like this that go into deep space trajectories. “The only folks that I know of who pay attention to these old rocket boosters are the asteroid tracking community,” he says.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p id="rHMtmY">
			Ultimately, Gray says it would be better if those who launch deep space rockets had to report the last known location of their vehicles, to make it easier to track and identify the lost parts. Of course, China is notorious for releasing very little information about its space missions. “This sort of thing would be considerably easier if the folks who launch spacecraft — if there was some regulatory environment where they had to report something,” Gray says. “But as it stands, it’s always a certain amount of detective work that goes into figuring these things out.”
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>
	</div>
</div>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/2/13/22931817/china-change-5-t1-rocket-spacex-falcon-9-moon-collision" rel="external nofollow">A rocket is still set to slam into the Moon next month — but it may not be from SpaceX after all</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4272</guid><pubDate>Sun, 13 Feb 2022 20:21:57 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>NASA unveils the James Webb Space Telescope&#x2019;s first images</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/nasa-unveils-the-james-webb-space-telescope%E2%80%99s-first-images-r4258/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
	<div>
		<p>
			<strong>The first step in a long process of aligning the telescope’s mirrors</strong>
		</p>
	</div>
</div>

<div>
	<div>
		<div>
			 
		</div>

		<div>
			<p id="vBrdB8">
				NASA <a href="https://blogs.nasa.gov/webb/" rel="external nofollow">unveiled a mosaic of the first images</a> captured by the revolutionary James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST, today. The image represents the early stages of the telescope’s 18 main mirror segments properly aligning before JWST reaches its full potential.
			</p>

			<p>
				 
			</p>

			<p id="kPKmlZ">
				The image is blurry, but this is actually a good starting point in the long process of adjusting JWST’s mirrors to take ultra-sharp photos of the distant Universe. The 18 points of light that appear in the image all represent the same isolated star, known as HD 84406, seen by a different primary mirror segment. Light collected from each primary mirror segment was reflected back to Webb’s secondary mirror, then measured using one of the telescope’s key imaging instruments, the Near Infrared Camera, or NIRCam. This sensor will be used throughout the telescope’s alignment process to determine and correct any optical errors.
			</p>

			<p>
				 
			</p>

			<p id="UZpvLw">
				The process of collecting the light used to generate the image mosaic took about 25 hours, according to NASA. The 18 images of HD 84406 were pieced together from more than 1,500 images collected as Webb was pointed to various positions around the expected location of the star. The mirror will begin to align correctly following the <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/1/25/22900612/nasa-jwst-space-telescope-mirror-alignment-commissioning-next-stepshttps://www.theverge.com/2022/1/25/22900612/nasa-jwst-space-telescope-mirror-alignment-commissioning-next-steps" rel="external nofollow">various adjustments</a> that the telescope will make over the coming months. Ultimately, those 18 stars will become one as all of the mirror segments are aligned to create a seamless surface.
			</p>

			<figure>
				<p>
					<picture data-cdata='{"asset_id":23235400,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1644611665_7428_674614"> <source sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Y_C2DqIIxJAtlRZfqoIKDYXKcvw=/0x0:1268x856/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ohLqhie3-aFXyOII29o4qiXxHFM=/0x0:1268x856/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/YmTEMaIi36Q8PteDqUwUXUdsVmI=/0x0:1268x856/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/qCwtU6BoT2iMkT9yCO_pamx3jz8=/0x0:1268x856/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/oWy5U6LLrj3jxgsAJON4R5og0Qw=/0x0:1268x856/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/pFqgEPmXBHBAOBI7ueyGTvm98UM=/0x0:1268x856/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/DLbxbvOUr63nmzoWxh4UCs7e6n8=/0x0:1268x856/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/gk4N4GKHN3p7QNKZSRWT2xRxs-4=/0x0:1268x856/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/U89Mvy_RuIwydnzgz6glhHK8ntY=/0x0:1268x856/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png 1920w" type="image/webp"> </source></picture>
				</p>

				<p>
					<img alt="Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="75.10" height="486" width="720" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/qCwtU6BoT2iMkT9yCO_pamx3jz8=/0x0:1268x856/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:1268x856):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235400/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.43_AM.png">
				</p>

				<figcaption>
					The 18 dots are of the same star captured with the 18 segments of JWST.
				</figcaption>
				Image: NASA
			</figure>

			<figure>
				<p>
					<picture data-cdata='{"asset_id":23235401,"ratio":"*"}' data-cid="site/picture_element-1644611665_1113_674615"> <source sizes="(min-width: 1221px) 846px, (min-width: 880px) calc(100vw - 334px), 100vw" srcset="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/w4HROAQe0kfgv6my1Ipy5gJHkz8=/0x0:1266x848/320x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/xzE9BYWrBAC4FccRv-fzuG9_ncQ=/0x0:1266x848/520x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/giTOBERsqgp2hTBA9zeIW-zaDQo=/0x0:1266x848/720x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/qsQFfewDKhlYiIRU98fF8Vrm1Zc=/0x0:1266x848/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 920w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/uQE9cyKrkH61z94MiF5prekKOpI=/0x0:1266x848/1120x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 1120w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/_zpufQJum1IGkDlYkDJcX5bG1Sg=/0x0:1266x848/1320x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 1320w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/ycDTp4DwU4H-rmGeoCV5P4iFDZ0=/0x0:1266x848/1520x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 1520w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/C1ax-0IJt7xK3ybY6xcAcwIi66Y=/0x0:1266x848/1720x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 1720w, https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/byO08FhyJ7X2CP8m4jTs1XetVYY=/0x0:1266x848/1920x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png 1920w" type="image/webp">  </source></picture>
				</p>

				<p>
					<img alt="Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="75.10" height="482" width="720" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/qsQFfewDKhlYiIRU98fF8Vrm1Zc=/0x0:1266x848/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:1266x848):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/23235401/Screen_Shot_2022_02_11_at_9.36.57_AM.png">
				</p>

				<figcaption>
					Each image of the singular star is labeled in the order it was captured.
				</figcaption>
				Image: NASA
			</figure>

			<p id="sL0M9H">
				After quite a few delays, JWST finally launched into <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2021/12/25/22850167/james-webb-space-telescope-jwst-launch-mission-success" rel="external nofollow">space on Christmas Day</a>, ending a decades-long waiting game. But the process didn’t stop there. Just days later, the telescope started <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2021/12/28/22816310/nasa-james-webb-space-telescope-jwst-deployment-sequence" rel="external nofollow">entering its final form</a> through a complex, two-week-long unfolding sequence. On January 4th, JWST successfully deployed its giant sunshield, which is essential to keeping its instruments cold. With the <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/1/8/22873592/james-webb-telescope-final-mirror-deployment-conclusion" rel="external nofollow">successful unfurling</a> of its primary mirror on January 8th, all major deployments were completed. On January 24th, JWST <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/1/24/22895050/nasa-jwst-space-telescope-final-orbit-lagrange-point" rel="external nofollow">reached its final orbit</a> in space.
			</p>

			<p>
				 
			</p>

			<p id="UfWgP3">
				NASA expects the first set of clear images for scientific observation to come in the summer. But for now, the JWST team is excited by the results of the telescope’s first imaging and alignment steps, which bring it one step closer to taking amazing images.
			</p>

			<p>
				 
			</p>

			<p id="6TZBeh">
				“Launching Webb to space was of course an exciting event, but for scientists and optical engineers, this is a pinnacle moment, when light from a star is successfully making its way through the system down onto a detector,” JWST project scientist Michael McElwain said in a <a href="https://blogs.nasa.gov/webb/" rel="external nofollow">blog post</a>.
			</p>
		</div>
	</div>
</div>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://www.theverge.com/2022/2/11/22929054/nasa-james-webb-space-telescope-first-images" rel="external nofollow">NASA unveils the James Webb Space Telescope’s first images</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4258</guid><pubDate>Fri, 11 Feb 2022 21:23:37 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Our Sun&#x2019;s nearest neighbor has another planet</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/our-sun%E2%80%99s-nearest-neighbor-has-another-planet-r4253/</link><description><![CDATA[<div data-page="1">
	<div>
		<header>
			<h2 itemprop="description">
				The second one is a real lightweight, at only a quarter of Earth's mass.
			</h2>

			<p>
				<img alt="image-800x500.jpeg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="69.31" height="450" width="720" src="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/image-800x500.jpeg">
			</p>
		</header>

		<section>
			<div itemprop="articleBody">
				<figure>
					<figcaption>
						<div>
							This artist’s impression shows a close-up view of Proxima d, a planet candidate recently found orbiting the red dwarf star Proxima Centauri, the closest star to the Solar System.
						</div>

						<div>
							<a href="https://www.eso.org/public/images/eso2202a/" rel="external nofollow">ESO/L. Calçada</a>
						</div>
					</figcaption>
				</figure>

				<p>
					We've now cataloged thousands of planets that orbit distant stars. For most of them, our knowledge is limited to basic statistics: their size, mass, and orbital distance from their host star. And, due to the difficult-to-comprehend distances within our galaxy, it's likely that this will remain the sum of our knowledge about them for generations.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					For the small number of planets closer to Earth, however, there's the chance to learn much more. Plans are already underway to study the atmospheres of planets within about 30 light years of Earth over the next few decades, and improvements in existing technologies have the potential to reveal even more. So the <a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2016/08/its-true-the-closest-star-to-the-sun-harbors-an-earth-sized-planet/" rel="external nofollow">discovery of an Earth-sized planet</a> orbiting Proxima Centauri, the closest star to the Sun, was exciting news. We now have the potential to learn much more about this rare planet.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					And now, scientists have confirmed that this planet isn't alone; at least one more planet orbits Proxima Centauri. And it turns out to be an unusually light one, with only about double the mass of Mars.
				</p>

				<h2>
					Previous hints
				</h2>

				<p>
					The original discovery of Proxima Centauri b, an Earth-sized planet within its star's habitable zone, was made using of what's known as the radial velocity method. This method relies on the fact that, if a planet's orbit is oriented in the right way, traversing the orbit can take the planet nearer or closer to Earth. And, because gravitational attraction is mutual, it will tug the star it orbits closer to or farther from Earth, as well.
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					The motion of the star can be read from the light we receive from it. As it moves toward Earth, its light will be shifted toward the bluer end of the spectrum; when it's pulled away from Earth, the light becomes a bit redder. If these shift show a regular pattern, that can be an indication of a planet's orbit, with the magnitude of the shift telling us the planet's relative mass compared to the mass of the star. Since many planets are in multi-planet systems, however, interpreting the changing red and blue shifts can be challenging.
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				</p>

				<p>
					In the case of Proxima Centauri, there was a clear signal of planet b, which takes about 11 days to complete an orbit. That short orbit means it's very close to the star. Since Proxima Centauri is a dim red dwarf star, however, its habitable zone is quite close as well, with Proxima Centauri b being solidly within it.
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				</p>

				<p>
					Beyond that, there's strong indication of a planet (Proxima Centauri c) much farther out, with an orbit of roughly five years. We haven't, however, been doing the right sort of observations of Proxima Centauri for long enough to have data on more than a single orbit. As a result, this is still considered a candidate.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					Finally, follow-up observations have hinted at the possibility of a Proxima Centauri d, orbiting close to its host star. But the signal had never reached the point of statistical significance. Until now, that is.
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					More is better
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					Since that follow-up observation, an international team has been using the Very Large Telescope at the European Southern Observatory to continue characterizing Proxima Centauri, prioritizing following up the potential signal of a five-day orbit. The signal remained, and the team used a variety of statistical methods to show that it was likely real.
				</p>

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				</p>

				<p>
					For example, models of the system using two planets, rather than one (and ignoring the slow-changing signal of the distant Proxima c) provided a better fit to the data than a model with only the confirmed Proxima Centauri b. In another test, they showed that the evidence for the signal grew as additional data was gathered, exactly what you'd expect if it were real.
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				</p>

				<p>
					Given the current data, it's impossible to tell how eccentric the orbit is; it may be largely circular, but more ellipsoidal options are also possible. The planet takes just 5.12 days to complete an orbit, which means it's closer to the host star and hot enough to be outside the habitable zone.
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				</p>

				<p>
					Mass estimates from radial velocity only provide minimal possible masses, since the same signal could be generated by a small planet orbiting with a plane that's close to "flat" from Earth's perspective, or a large planet orbiting in a steeply tilted plane. If we had evidence of transits, where the planets pass between the star and Earth, we could know the orbital tilt, and therefore the mass. But there's no sign of any transits here.
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				</p>

				<p>
					Within that limitation, it appears that Proxima Centauri d may be a very light planet, with only about a quarter of the mass of Earth. For context, that would make it roughly twice Mars' mass. It's also potentially the lightest planet ever detected using radial velocity.
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				</p>

				<p>
					So, we now know that our nearest stellar neighbor is well populated with planets. It's not clear how long it will take us to take advantage of that knowledge. Without a transit, we can't look for atmospheres, and the two closest planets are too close to the star to image directly without a major technological breakthrough. We may need to wait until something like <a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2016/04/breakthrough-starshot-announces-plans-to-send-ship-to-alpha-centauri/" rel="external nofollow">Breakthrough Starshot</a> manages to get hardware there.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					The better news is what this finding tells us about the state of the new generation of planet-hunting hardware that has come online. Most stars have a degree of variability in their light output that can interfere with radial velocity measurements. It's estimated that Proxima Centauri's variability can often look like a radial velocity signal equivalent to a meter per second. Despite that, the team here was able to extract the signal of a planet that was so light that it only caused changes on the order of a few tens of centimeters a second.
				</p>

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				</p>

				<p>
					Astronomy &amp; Astrophysics, 2022. DOI: <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202142337" rel="external nofollow">10.1051/0004-6361/202142337</a>  (<a href="http://arstechnica.com/science/news/2010/03/dois-and-their-discontents-1.ars" rel="external nofollow">About DOIs</a>).
				</p>
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</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/02/our-suns-nearest-neighbor-has-another-planet/" rel="external nofollow">Our Sun’s nearest neighbor has another planet</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4253</guid><pubDate>Fri, 11 Feb 2022 04:41:37 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>The James Webb Space Telescope Is in Position. Now It&#x2019;s Booting Up</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/the-james-webb-space-telescope-is-in-position-now-it%E2%80%99s-booting-up-r4244/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
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					<strong>After successfully launching and maneuvering the spacecraft, JWST researchers still have months of prep work to do before they can start taking pictures.</strong>
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								On Christmas, scientists launched the James Webb Space Telescope and sent it about a million miles from Earth. This summer, the technological marvel will begin collecting never-before-seen images of the cosmos. But between now and then, NASA researchers and their European and Canadian colleagues have their work cut out for them.
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							<p>
								They have a many-step process to ensure that the powerful, expensive telescope’s instruments are ready to successfully collect data about everything from faint planets to the distant universe. “Everything’s just about on schedule, but we’re busy people for the next six months. There’s an awful lot to do,” says John Mather, JWST senior project scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.
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								The hardest part might already be done: The <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-james-webb-space-telescope-finally-prepares-for-launch/" rel="external nofollow">spacecraft launched</a> without a hitch, and over the next couple of weeks it delicately unfurled its huge, kite-shaped <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/to-study-the-next-earth-nasa-may-need-to-throw-some-shade/" rel="external nofollow">sun shield</a>, designed to block heat and light from the sun, moon, and Earth, and moved its 18 hexagonal mirror segments into place. “We’re incredibly excited. It was a nail-biter for the first month, and thankfully the deployments went really smoothly,” says Analyn Schneider, the project manager of JWST’s Mid-Infrared Instrument (MIRI) at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California.
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								All the while, the telescope was traveling to its special parking spot at <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-physics-of-the-james-webb-space-telescope/" rel="external nofollow">the L2 Lagrange point</a>, where it balances the gravitational pull of the sun and Earth. (Other spacecraft, including the European Space Agency’s Planck Telescope, have been deployed to the same area.) Keeping a spacecraft in that position is gravitationally unstable, sort of like balancing a ball on an upturned bowl. Webb will regularly drift away from L2, requiring little bursts of fuel every few weeks to nudge it back. But it should have plenty left, because scientists maneuvered the telescope to conserve fuel on its outbound trip. Now, the JWST team expects it to run much longer than its planned 5- to 10-year mission, perhaps lasting as long as its predecessors, the <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/nasa-tries-to-save-hubble-again/" rel="external nofollow">Hubble</a> and <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/rip-spitzer-telescope/" rel="external nofollow">Spitzer</a> space telescopes. “The ballpark is probably 20 years of life. It depends on how good we are at steering our unstable car,” Mather says.
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							<p>
								Since the spacecraft’s now so far away, Mather, Schneider, and their team have to send and receive radio signals through NASA’s <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/nasa-just-proved-it-can-navigate-space-using-pulsars-where-to-now/" rel="external nofollow">Deep Space Network</a>, an international array of giant antennas managed by JPL. When a programmer inputs a command and waits for an acknowledgment from the spacecraft, that signal could be relayed through an antenna in California’s Mojave Desert or one in Eastern Australia, for example. But there’s a slight delay, because of the distance. “If something bad happens, we won’t know for five seconds,” Mather says. (That’s still pretty quick for space transmissions. For example, messages to our Martian ambassadors like the <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/nasa-lands-the-perseverance-rover-on-mars/" rel="external nofollow">Perseverance rover</a> involve a delay of five to 20 minutes.)
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								Now that everything’s in place, the JWST team has begun the “commissioning” process for the instruments, setting up the complex cameras and detectors and making sure they work as they’re supposed to, Schneider says. Last week, they conducted their first tests with the Near-Infrared Camera (NIRCam), allowing the first photons to hit the camera. It’s not actually capturing images yet, but this is a step toward doing so. Eventually, scientists will use NIRCam to discover new planets and glimpse some of the first galaxies.
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								Once they can take real test images, such as of nearby, previously photographed stars, the first batches will be blurry and out of focus. But that’s normal. Those tests will enable the Webb team to gradually align the telescope and adjust the mirror segments until the images look clear. 
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								Unlike Hubble’s cameras, which mostly scan the universe at visible-light wavelengths, Webb’s will be sensitive to <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-physics-of-the-james-webb-space-telescope/" rel="external nofollow">infrared light</a>, allowing it to probe the early days of the universe and to penetrate dust clouds. But infrared light is essentially heat radiation, so the detectors can’t be contaminated with any other heat, either from the sun or from the spacecraft itself. JWST’s three near-infrared instruments have to be cooled to about -389 Fahrenheit, while MIRI will come within 7 degrees of absolute zero, or about -447 F. Scientists will eventually use MIRI to study the birthplaces of stars. When possible, they’ll use MIRI’s camera and spectrograph, which break down light into its full spectrum of colors, like a rainbow, to look for signs of water, carbon dioxide, and methane; all are common on Earth and might be signs of <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/can-alien-smog-lead-us-to-extraterrestrial-civilizations/" rel="external nofollow">life-friendly</a> <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/will-we-recognize-life-on-mars-when-we-see-it/" rel="external nofollow">places</a> <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/life-on-venus-debate-phosphine-volcanoes/" rel="external nofollow">elsewhere</a>. NIRCam’s detectors can work when they’re slightly warmer than the others, but to function properly, all of the infrared instruments on board have to be cooled down to extremely frigid temperatures.
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								Because the instruments are behind the sun shield, they will be cooled by space itself—hundreds of degrees colder than anyplace on Earth—while radiating their heat away. For MIRI, engineers designed a special “cryocooler” to chill it down further. “It’s essentially a refrigerator that’s built up with four stages, each stage cooling the next. None of the components in the cryocooler are life-limited. We expect it to continue chugging along as long as we continue to get power from the solar arrays,” says Konstantin Penanen, a cryocooler specialist at JPL.
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								That’s a major advantage over Spitzer, whose instruments depended on its supply of cryogen, a liquid helium coolant that ran out in 2009. NASA continued to use the space telescope for a few years after that, during the “warm Spitzer mission,” but its mid-infrared detectors were no longer viable.
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									<img alt="Science_jpegPIA23643.jpg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="75.10" height="480" width="720" src="https://media.wired.com/photos/62042e299266d5d11c07b348/master/w_1600,c_limit/Science_jpegPIA23643.jpg">
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										An artist's rendering of NASA's Spitzer Space Telescope, JWST's infrared predecessor.
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									Illustration: NASA
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								The JWST team has other challenges ahead, though, like making sure that as the spacecraft cools, little droplets of water vapor escape into space rather than condensing and turning into ice on the mirrors or detectors. (That would make images blurrier.) And over time, tiny micrometeorites, smaller than grains of sand, will likely hit parts of the telescope. But NASA prepared for that too, by making the sun shield five layers thick, so it can withstand those little impacts and minimize the damage.
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								The spacecraft also depends on some mechanical parts that don’t have a backup. “Webb is so much more complex,” says Sean Carey, who was an astronomer at Caltech’s Spitzer Science Center until it closed last September and is now at NASA’s Exoplanet Science Institute. “It has over 1,000 moving parts. Spitzer had four: the aperture cover, which was ejected once and gone; a focus mechanism, which we moved twice at the beginning of the mission and never moved again; the scan mirror for MIPS; and the shutter for IRAC,” the mid- and near-infrared instruments. If JWST encounters a critical problem, it’s too far away for an astronaut with a screwdriver to be dispatched to repair it, as NASA did for Hubble. <br>
								<br>
								For now, the next major milestone for the JWST team is to complete the cooling for all the instruments, including MIRI, which will reach its extremely cold temperature range by early April. The long and careful process of aligning the telescope’s mirrors should be done by May. And then it will finally be time for what everyone’s been waiting for: They’ll probably start up the science program—which means actually taking images and data—in June, Mather says.
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								“I’m thrilled with how well we’re doing," he says. "Nothing has come up that we couldn’t solve.”
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<p>
	<a href="https://www.wired.com/story/the-james-webb-space-telescope-is-in-position-now-its-booting-up/" rel="external nofollow">The James Webb Space Telescope Is in Position. Now It’s Booting Up</a>
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	(May require free registration to view)
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4244</guid><pubDate>Thu, 10 Feb 2022 20:31:49 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Amateur sleuths solve 160-year mystery by decoding Charles Dickens letter</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/amateur-sleuths-solve-160-year-mystery-by-decoding-charles-dickens-letter-r4243/</link><description><![CDATA[<div data-page="1">
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				Dickens Code project issued crowd-sourced call to crack author's idiosyncratic shorthand.
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				<img alt="dickensTOP-800x533.jpg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="74.03" height="479" width="720" src="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/dickensTOP-800x533.jpg">
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							Section of the so-called "Tavistock letter," written by Charles Dickens in his idiosyncratic shorthand. The crowd-sourced transcription, now 70 percent complete, reveals a dispute between Dickens and The Times of London.
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							<a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Dickens_to_macready_cipher_ma_107-43_l.jpeg" rel="external nofollow">Public domain</a>
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					Last October, a collaboration called <a href="https://dickenscode.org" rel="external nofollow">The Dickens Code</a> project made a public appeal to amateur puzzle fans and codebreakers for assistance in decoding a letter written by Victorian novelist <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Dickens" rel="external nofollow">Charles Dickens</a> in a tortuously idiosyncratic style of shorthand. The <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/08/books/charles-dickens-secret-notes.html" rel="external nofollow">crowd-sourced effort</a> helped scholars piece together about three-quarters of the transcript. Shane Baggs, a computer technical support specialist from San Jose, California, won the overall contest, while a college student at the University of Virginia named Ken Cox was declared the runner-up.
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					Dickens himself hardly needs an introduction, deemed by many to be the greatest novelist of the Victorian era. Great Expectations, Oliver Twist, A Tale of Two Cities, and of course, his timeless 1843 novella A Christmas Carol, are just a few of the works contributing to that well-deserved reputation. A lesser-known aspect of Dickens' life is that he taught himself a particularly difficult form of shorthand as a teenager, relying on an 18th-century manual called Brachygraphy by shorthand writer Thomas Gurney. Dickens mentions this in passing in his semi-autobiographical novel David Copperfield:
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						I bought an approved scheme of the noble art and mystery of stenography (which cost me ten and sixpence); and plunged into a sea of perplexity that brought me, in a few weeks, to the confines of distraction. The changes that were rung upon dots, which in such a position meant such a thing, and in such another position something else, entirely different; the wonderful vagaries that were played by circles; the unaccountable consequences that resulted from marks like flies’ legs; the tremendous effects of a curve in a wrong place; not only troubled my waking hours, but reappeared before me in my sleep.
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				<p>
					It took Dickens about a year to master Gurney's Brachygraphy, and he spent three years using the shorthand as a court reporter. He also began adding his own unique symbols to write personal memos to himself, maintain teaching notebooks, write letters, and so forth. Alas, very few examples survive. There are only about 10 currently known manuscripts of Dickens’ shorthand, dating from the 1830s to the late 1860s. Several of these remain undeciphered, including a letter from the 1850s and a set of shorthand booklets collected by Dickens’ shorthand pupil, Arthur Stone (the son of his friend and neighbor).
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					<img alt="dickens3-640x426.jpg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="66.56" height="426" width="640" src="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/dickens3-640x426.jpg">
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							British novelist Charles Dickens in his study in Gads Hill near Rochester, Kent, circa 1860.
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							Epics/Getty Images
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					The Dickens Code project is the brainchild of two Dickensian scholars: Claire Wood of the University of Leicester, and Hugo Bowles of the University of Foggia. "Dickens’s shorthand has proved extremely difficult to decode," they wrote on the project's website. For those seeking to crack the code, it helps to identify the original source material, although "in most cases, experts have been unable to locate the source texts used for the exercises," they wrote. "They could be published or unpublished passages written by Dickens, or by another author."
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				<p>
					One of the samples of Dickens' shorthand is a dictation exercise headed "Sydney Smith," likely arising from the shorthand lessons he gave to Arthur Stone. Dickens was a great admirer of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sydney_Smith" rel="external nofollow">a reverend philosopher</a> of that name, often carrying around a copy of Smith's Elementary Sketches of Moral Philosophy. Dickens admired Smith so much, in fact, that he named his seventh son Sydney Smith Haldimand Dickens.
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					So which Sydney Smith did the dictation exercise refer to—the son or the philosopher? According to Wood and Bowles, this one was fairly easy to decipher thanks to a known symbol meaning "world." They just had to search for occurrences of "world" in the philosopher's works, which yielded about 10 candidates. But only one of those used "world" in the first line of a paragraph: a lecture entitled "On the Conduct of the Understanding." Wood and Bowles think it makes sense that Dickens would have dictated something by his favorite philosopher to Stone as part of the latter's shorthand lessons. Once they had identified the text, it was relatively simple to complete <a href="https://dickenscode.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Sydney-Smith-Shorthand-Transcription.pdf" rel="external nofollow">the rest of the transcription</a>.
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							The longhand title and first shorthand line of Dickens' "Sydney Smith" dictation exercise.
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							Free Library of Philadelphia
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					The team has also (mostly) cracked the code for a shorthand sample dubbed "The Two Brothers"; only three symbols remain unsolved. The opening line of the transcribed text reads, "I once heard a story... which struck my imagination," so this seemed to be Dickens' notes for a new piece of fiction. Initially, the folks at the Dickens Society thought it was a legal story, since other symbols indicated that the narrator had heard the story "from the mouth of a deceased judge." There were also symbols for "will" and "wards" of courts.
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					Instead, as the <a href="https://dickenscode.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/The-Two-Brothers-Shorthand-Transcription.pdf" rel="external nofollow">transcription progressed</a>, the scholars discovered it was actually a fragment of a ghost story about two old bachelor brothers living in Slough and London. The framing story—a narrator relating the tale after hearing about it from a judge—was a common trope in 19th-century ghost stories. All we know is that one of the brothers appeared as a ghostly apparition in the other's bedroom one night, with the strange, pale figure making no answer when the brother addressed it.
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					How does the story end? Nobody knows, because the second page of the story is missing. In fact, there may not even be a second page of the story. The following page consists of a seemingly unrelated courtroom speech. "We won't know if the story continues until we have had a closer look at the sequencing in the notebooks and transcribed more of the pages," Wood and Bowles wrote.
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					But the contents of the Tavistock letter remained maddeningly elusive—until now. The Dickens Code project's competition closed on New Year's Eve, with sixteen formal submissions, none of which were complete. The judging panel assessed both the quality of the transcription and the quality of the accompanying report for each submission. In the end, Baggs and Cox managed to decipher the most symbols, although it was still very much a combined effort. The full line-by-line transcription, now about 70 percent complete, is <a href="https://dickenscode.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Tavistock-Letter-Transcription.pdf" rel="external nofollow">here</a>.
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				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					<img alt="dickens2-640x917.jpg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="84.38" height="540" width="376" src="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/dickens2-640x917.jpg">
				</p>

				<figure>
					<figcaption>
						<div>
							Full page of the Tavistock letter.
						</div>

						<div>
							Public domain
						</div>
					</figcaption>
				</figure>

				<p>
					"On compiling these solutions, the puzzle pieces started to fit together: a word here, or a key phrase there, that enabled us to pin down the timeframe and understand the context," Wood and Bowles wrote. Three translations proved especially critical.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					"HW" was a reference to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_Words" rel="external nofollow">Household Words</a>, a periodical Dickens edited and co-owned with a publisher called Bradbury and Evans (B&amp;E). Another entry linked the symbol for "round" with a new journal Dickens had founded in 1859, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All_the_Year_Round" rel="external nofollow">All the Year Round</a>, after he had a falling out with B&amp;E. And two symbols translated into "Ascension Day," which helped pinpoint the likely time period in which the Tavistock letter had been written: 40 days after Easter in 1859.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					The analysis revealed that the letter was addressed to J.T. Delane, editor of The Times, in May 1859, a personal acquaintance of the author, concerning a rejected advertisement for Dickens' new magazine. Per Wood and Bowles, Dickens was suffering some financial constraints at the time. He was divorcing his wife. And he had fallen out with B&amp;E because the publisher had refused to publish Dickens' furious denial of his extramarital affair with an actress in Punch (which it also published). B&amp;E didn't accept Dickens' offer to buy its share of Household Words, a major source of the author's income at the time.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					That's why Dickens started All the Year Round. B&amp;E sued to keep Dickens from telling people that Household Words was being discontinued. Dickens won the case, provided he made it clear in such statements that it was Dickens, personally, who was discontinuing the magazine, not B&amp;E. The Times advertisement announcing the launch of All the Year Round used such terminology, and a clerk mistakenly rejected it, prompting the Tavistock letter.
				</p>
			</div>
		</section>
	</div>

	<div>
		 
	</div>
</div>

<div>
	<img alt="dickens6-640x310.jpg" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="48.44" height="310" width="640" src="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/dickens6-640x310.jpg">
</div>

<div data-page="3">
	<div>
		<section>
			<div itemprop="articleBody">
				<figure>
					<figcaption>
						<div>
							This advertisement for the third number of All the Year Round was published in The Times, at Dickens’ request, on May 11, 1859.
						</div>

						<div>
							Dickens Code Project/Public domain
						</div>
					</figcaption>
				</figure>

				<p>
					There is another known letter, written in longhand, from The Times manager, apologizing to Dickens and reinstating the rejected advertisement—likely in response to the Tavistock letter. So Dickens won that battle and soon won the war. All the Year Round launched with the first installment of one of his most famous novels, A Tale of Two Cities, and the magazine became a literary sensation. Meanwhile, without Dickens as editor, Household Word's readership declined. B&amp;E was forced to auction off the title, and Dickens bought the magazine at a steep discount, incorporating it into All the Year Round.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					"Thanks to the work of the Dickens decoders, we have gained new insight into this particularly fraught time in Dickens’s publishing career," <a href="https://dickenscode.org/decoding-the-tavistock-letter-or-dickens-and-the-dark-arts-of-victorian-media-management/" rel="external nofollow">Wood and Bowles concluded</a>. "Rather than Dickens the author, we see Dickens the businessman, involved in the minutiae of ensuring his new journal’s success and appealing to powerful friends to get the outcome that he desired."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					The Dickens Code project has funding to run for another year, and Wood and Bowles <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/books/2022/feb/07/wordle-crack-dickens-code-it-worker-california-shorthand-love-deciphering?utm_term=Autofeed&amp;CMP=twt_gu&amp;utm_medium&amp;utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1644240117" rel="external nofollow">told the Guardian</a> that they hoped to expand the number of amateur sleuths contributing to their decoding efforts. Some of the remaining un-transcribed documents are even more difficult to decode than the Tavistock letter, and one—a series of notes simply headed "Anecdote" in longhand—might just be a new Dickens story, per Bowles. If anyone is game to take a stab at decoding Dickens, the project has an introductory eight-step video guide to get you started:
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<div class="ipsEmbeddedVideo" contenteditable="false">
					<div>
						<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="113" src="https://nsaneforums.com/applications/core/interface/index.html" width="200" data-embed-src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/HDg1YhVs0CQ?feature=oembed"></iframe>
					</div>
				</div>

				<figure>
					<figcaption>
						<div>
							An 8-step guide to decoding the shorthand writing of Victorian author Charles Dickens, courtesy of The Dickens Code project.
						</div>
					</figcaption>
				</figure>
			</div>
		</section>
	</div>
</div>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2022/02/decoding-charles-dickens-amateur-sleuths-helped-decipher-1859-letter/" rel="external nofollow">Amateur sleuths solve 160-year mystery by decoding Charles Dickens letter</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4243</guid><pubDate>Thu, 10 Feb 2022 20:28:21 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>NASA says Starlink Gen2 may cause problems for Hubble and asteroid detection</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/nasa-says-starlink-gen2-may-cause-problems-for-hubble-and-asteroid-detection-r4242/</link><description><![CDATA[<div data-page="1">
	<div>
		<header>
			<h2 itemprop="description">
				NASA explains concerns to FCC, urges more research and careful deployment by SpaceX.
			</h2>
		</header>

		<section>
			<div itemprop="articleBody">
				<p>
					NASA has warned that SpaceX's <a href="https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2020/05/spacex-and-oneweb-seek-licenses-to-launch-78000-broadband-satellites/" rel="external nofollow">plan for 30,000 more Starlink satellites</a> could cause problems for science missions, human spaceflight, the Hubble telescope, and ground-based telescopes that look for asteroids that might hit the Earth.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					NASA outlined its concerns in a <a href="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/NTIA-NASA-and-NSF-Fi.pdf" rel="external nofollow">letter</a> to the Federal Communications Commission on Monday. "With the increase in large constellation proposals to the FCC, NASA has concerns with the potential for a significant increase in the frequency of conjunction events and possible impacts to NASA's science and human spaceflight missions," the agency said. "Consequently, NASA submits this letter for the purpose of providing a better understanding of NASA's concerns with respect to its assets on-orbit and to further mitigate the risk of collisions for the benefit of all involved."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					NASA didn't urge the FCC to reject SpaceX's <a href="http://licensing.fcc.gov/cgi-bin/ws.exe/prod/ib/forms/reports/swr031b.hts?q_set=V_SITE_ANTENNA_FREQ.file_numberC/File+Number/%3D/SATAMD2021081800105&amp;prepare=&amp;column=V_SITE_ANTENNA_FREQ.file_numberC/File+Number" rel="external nofollow">application</a>, but it said it wants deployment to be "conducted prudently, in a manner that supports spaceflight safety and the long-term sustainability of the space environment." NASA also said the large number of additional satellites "will require expanded coordination and communication between the two parties to ensure the continued safety of both SpaceX and NASA assets."
				</p>

				<h2>
					Hubble telescope and asteroid surveys
				</h2>

				<p>
					The Hubble orbits at 535 km, and about "8 percent of composite images captured by the Hubble telescope are impacted by satellites captured during exposures," NASA said. "This proposed Starlink license amendment includes 10,000 satellites in or above the orbital range of Hubble, a situation that could more than double the fraction of Hubble images degraded." NASA also said that "degradation severity will increase."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					NASA said it has approximately 14 Earth-observing missions and that SpaceX's planned altitudes for the 30,000 satellites are lower than most of the space vehicles used in those missions. That raises the "potential for sun-glint and reflections from the Starlink spacecraft to cause impacts to those missions' measurements."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					Next, NASA noted that it "uses wide-field ground-based telescopes to survey for asteroids that could potentially impact the Earth and cause harm" and that these "telescopes occasionally find satellite streaks in their images that could interfere with or hide asteroid detections." Starlink's plans could make that problem quite a bit worse, NASA said:
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p style="margin-left: 40px;">
					With the addition of ~30,000 Starlink satellites as described in the Gen2 amendment request, NASA estimates that there would be a Starlink in every single asteroid survey image taken for planetary defense against hazardous asteroid impacts, decreasing asteroid survey effectiveness by rendering portions of images unusable. This could have a direct impact on NASA's ability to fulfill its Congressional mandate and could have a detrimental effect on our planet's ability to detect and possibly redirect a potentially catastrophic impact.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					To address this risk, NASA said it wants "additional information including: spacecraft and laser specifications including deployed dimensions, communications plan, ground segment expansion, orbital spacing, and deployment schedule. This will inform a thorough analysis of risks and impacts to NASA's missions and enable a mitigation strategy."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					We've previously written about how astronomers have <a data-uri="d773bfabbe0953705cf90a291fef8178" href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/01/astronomers-find-growing-number-of-starlink-satellite-tracks/" rel="external nofollow">observed growing numbers of Starlink satellite tracks</a> on telescope images and about a <a href="https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/08/spacex-satellites-effect-on-night-sky-cant-be-eliminated-astronomers-say/" rel="external nofollow">report by astronomers</a> stating that the effect on the night sky of Starlink satellites can't be eliminated.
				</p>

				<h2>
					NASA sees problems for launch windows
				</h2>

				<p>
					Launches could be affected by the Starlink plan, NASA said. "SpaceX is proposing ~20,000 additional Starlink satellites in the 328-360 km altitude range, which is below the ISS and is a common phasing altitude for ISS visiting vehicles," NASA's letter said. "The proposed volume of autonomously maneuvering satellites directly parked in common phasing altitudes could result in potential loss of launch/entry opportunities impacting science and utilization for ISS."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					NASA also said it is worried about "an increasing unavailability of safe launch windows, especially for missions requiring instantaneous or short launch windows, such as planetary missions like the Europa Clipper, which would be significantly affected due to a lost launch opportunity." NASA recommended that "SpaceX commission analysis of launch window availability... to demonstrate that the increase in launch conflicts does not significantly reduce access to space. NASA is specifically interested in analysis that may predict how this expansion impacts future NASA Science Missions, Commercial Crew, and Re-Supply launch/entry opportunities."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					The letter was signed by Samantha Fonder, NASA's representative to the Commercial Space Transportation Interagency Group. A handful of satellite companies also submitted filings to the <a href="http://licensing.fcc.gov/cgi-bin/ws.exe/prod/ib/forms/reports/related_filing.hts?f_key=-471532&amp;f_number=SATAMD2021081800105" rel="external nofollow">docket</a> on or before the February 8 deadline for comments. Viasat petitioned the FCC to deny SpaceX's application or hold it in abeyance, and Dish petitioned the FCC to dismiss or deny the application in part. EchoStar and Hughes called on the FCC to dismiss or suspend review of the SpaceX application.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					Amazon, which has frequently <a href="https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/01/spacex-aims-to-launch-2nd-gen-starlink-satellites-soon-but-amazon-seeks-delay/" rel="external nofollow">battled with SpaceX</a> over Starlink plans, asked for conditions to be imposed on the launches. OneWeb also asked the FCC to impose conditions. The 30,000 satellites pending approval are in addition to the <a href="https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2018/11/spacex-gets-fcc-approval-for-7500-more-broadband-satellites/" rel="external nofollow">nearly 12,000</a> that SpaceX already has licenses for. SpaceX has <a href="https://planet4589.org/space/stats/star/starstats.html" rel="external nofollow">about 1,900 Starlink satellites</a> in orbit so far.
				</p>
			</div>
		</section>
	</div>
</div>

<div data-page="2">
	<div>
		<section>
			<div itemprop="articleBody">
				<h2>
					More risk of debris-generating collisions
				</h2>

				<p>
					Here's how NASA described its concerns about congestion in low-Earth altitudes, including a potential impact on human spaceflight:
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p style="margin-left: 40px;">
					There are currently ~25,000 total objects tracked on-orbit. About 6,100 of those objects have a perigee below 600 km. SpaceX's Gen2 expansion would more than double the number of tracked objects in orbit and increase the number of objects below 600 km over five-fold, without factoring in growth from other proposed constellations. An increase of this magnitude into these confined altitude bands inherently brings additional risk of debris-generating collision events based on the number of objects alone. NASA anticipates current and planned science missions, as well as human spaceflight operations, will see an increase in conjunctions.
				</p>

				<p style="margin-left: 40px;">
					 
				</p>

				<p style="margin-left: 40px;">
					Such a significant increase in total object volume raises concern regarding a potential impact to on-orbit tracking and conjunction screening. If NASA were unable to receive reliable and timely conjunction notifications, the quality of the on-orbit protection provided to NASA would be degraded and the safety of the International Space Station (ISS) and all other NASA assets may be impacted.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					To address these concerns, "NASA recommends SpaceX generate analysis demonstrating the auto-maneuver capability is sufficiently scalable to the entire proposed constellation size, including inter-constellation conjunctions, while accounting for challenges in flying lower altitudes during greater solar activity," the agency wrote.
				</p>

				<h2>
					Collision risk can’t be reduced to zero
				</h2>

				<p>
					NASA doubted one of SpaceX's optimistic assumptions about collision risks. "The application states that the collision risk with large objects is zero because each spacecraft can maneuver," NASA wrote. "Zero risk is possible for any single maneuverable spacecraft if the event is mitigated down to zero probability of collision (Pc). However, considering multiple independent constellations of tens of thousands of spacecraft and the expected increase in the number of close encounters over time, the assumption of zero risk from a system-level standpoint lacks statistical substantiation. With the potential for multiple constellations with thousands and tens of thousands of spacecraft, it is not recommended to assume propulsion systems, ground detection systems, and software are 100% reliable or that manual operations (if any) are 100 percent error-free."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					Even if SpaceX's "auto-maneuver capability scales appropriately within the Starlink constellation, the concern remains that other vendors proposing large constellations would also use auto-maneuvering capability within altitude ranges occupied by Starlink, thereby requiring multiple autonomous constellations to maneuver out of each other's way without clearly defined rules of the road for such interactions," NASA wrote. NASA recommended that "SpaceX commission a risk analysis that addresses the efficacy of autonomous-vs.-autonomous constellation conjunction assessments and mitigation actions to provide confidence that the situation could be sufficiently addressed."
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					NASA also said it is concerned about radio frequency interference (RFI) from Starlink operations in the 14.0–14.5 GHz band to NASA's Tracking and Data Relay Satellite System (TDRSS) but said that problems can be avoided if current processes are continued. "Continued frequency coordination of SpaceX operations in this band, through the interagency frequency coordination process, is critical to maintain no impacts to existing NASA operations. NASA has taken preventative measures to reduce potential RFI to TDRSS and provides certain operational conditions to the FCC, which are appended to the SpaceX licenses. NASA requests for the FCC to support these conditions and to continue coordination of SpaceX operations in compliance with existing processes," the agency said.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					NASA noted that its concerns about Starlink would also apply to other large satellite constellations. "There is a clear need to develop a longer-term plan for conjunction and interference mitigation at a national and international level, and NASA looks forward to contributing our expertise in this endeavor in collaboration with commercial operators," NASA said.
				</p>

				<p>
					 
				</p>

				<p>
					In addition to its other requests for SpaceX, "NASA suggests that SpaceX work with NASA to demonstrate the proposed capability with increasing volumes of satellites prior to each successive launch so that it may troubleshoot any issues that arise and make adjustments, as necessary," NASA said. "This incremental approach would allow SpaceX to gradually prove their concept of operations and troubleshoot any issues that arise along the way."
				</p>
			</div>
		</section>
	</div>
</div>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/02/nasa-says-starlink-gen2-may-cause-problems-for-hubble-and-asteroid-detection/" rel="external nofollow">NASA says Starlink Gen2 may cause problems for Hubble and asteroid detection</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4242</guid><pubDate>Thu, 10 Feb 2022 20:24:41 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>Four fast chargers every 50 miles&#x2014;US unveils EV infrastructure plan</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/four-fast-chargers-every-50-miles%E2%80%94us-unveils-ev-infrastructure-plan-r4241/</link><description><![CDATA[<header>
	<h2 itemprop="description">
		Nationwide EV charging network is moving forward quickly.
	</h2>

	<p>
		<img alt="Large-Electrify-America-Charging-Station" class="ipsImage" data-ratio="74.03" height="479" width="720" src="https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Large-Electrify-America-Charging-Station-217-800x533.jpg">
	</p>
</header>

<section>
	<div itemprop="articleBody">
		<figure>
			<figcaption>
				<div>
					An Electrify America charging station.
				</div>

				<div>
					Electrify America
				</div>
			</figcaption>
		</figure>

		<p>
			About five years from now, a common complaint about electric vehicles—range anxiety—will be a thing of the past across much of the US.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Starting this year, the federal government will begin doling out $5 billion to states over five years to build a nationwide network of fast chargers. The <a href="https://driveelectric.gov/#about-description" rel="external nofollow">plan</a> initially focuses on the Interstate Highway System, directing states to build one charging station every 50 miles. Those stations must be capable of charging at least four EVs simultaneously at 150 kW.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>
		Once states have completed the Interstate charging network, they’ll be able to apply for grants to fill in gaps elsewhere. The Joint Office of Energy and Transportation, a new agency formed to help the Transportation and Energy Departments administer the program, will allow case-by-case exceptions to the 50-mile requirement if, for example, no grid connection is available nearby.

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Funding for the initial Interstate portion of the program will be allocated using a formula that mimics how federal highway grants are distributed. Starting in fiscal year 2022, $615 million will be available to build charging stations, and $300 million will be allocated to set up the Joint Office of Energy and Transportation. Ten percent of each year’s funding will go toward filling gaps in the network.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			After the initial $5 billion program is launched, another $2.5 billion in discretionary grants will be available to build chargers in rural and underserved areas.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			As part of their plans submitted to the federal government, states will need to ensure that the charging stations will be reliable—at least one charger per station needs to be working more than 97 percent of the time—and that they will limit their impact on the electric grid. States are also directed to design stations so they can be easily expanded and upgraded as demand grows and charging rates increase. The new program also encourages states to site chargers near travel centers, convenience stores, visitor centers, or restaurants.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			To get credit for their Interstate build-out, states will have to install chargers that use the Combined Charging System, also known as CCS. With the exception of the Nissan Leaf, most models of EVs sold in the US can use this plug type. Though Teslas have their own plug type, the company is reportedly planning to offer an adapter that will allow at least some of its North American fleet to use CCS fast chargers. (It already offers that adapter in South Korea.)
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			The new program also prioritizes domestic production of chargers, which has already spurred some manufacturers to begin setting up operations in the US. Tritium, an Australian company that supplies some fast chargers to ChargePoint, said earlier this week that it would build a factory in Tennessee that can crank out 30,000 DC fast chargers per year. Siemens also plans to expand its US footprint so it can make up to 1 million chargers per year by 2025.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			One area where the new program currently falls short concerns how people will pay for charging. Most non-Tesla EV owners have a number of apps on their phones (or fobs on their keychains) to give them access to different charging networks. It’s less than convenient.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			“We’re taking a good look at this,” Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg <a href="https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a39028755/dot-secretary-buttigieg-on-ev-plans/" rel="external nofollow">told</a> Car and Driver. “Part of this program is going to be a shared standard. If we’re going to use taxpayers' dollars to help private actors put in charging stations, then of course we need to make sure the citizen is getting good value out of it. There may be any number of network benefits through loyalty programs. That’s fine,” he said, “but we’ve got to make sure… everybody can benefit.”
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>
		Putting a credit card reader on each charging station seems like a decent solution, though some networks <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2020/11/electrify-americas-ev-chargers-now-support-plugcharge/" rel="external nofollow">already support</a> the ISO 15118 standard, also known as "plug-and-charge." Drivers using compatible vehicles can simply plug in, and the charger and vehicle coordinate to handle both authentication and payment.

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			Buttigieg also said that the new Joint Office of Energy and Transportation will start looking into providing guidance on how to site and design chargers to facilitate vehicles towing trailers.
		</p>

		<p>
			 
		</p>

		<p>
			The new program represents a significant down payment on President Joe Biden’s pledge to create a <a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2021/11/us-charging-infrastructure-is-outpacing-forecasts-study-finds/" rel="external nofollow">network of 500,000 charging stations across the US</a> by 2030. If that plan comes to fruition, it should help speed the country’s transition to EVs while slashing carbon emissions from transportation.
		</p>
	</div>
</section>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	<a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2022/02/four-fast-chargers-every-50-miles-us-unveils-ev-infrastructure-plan/" rel="external nofollow">Four fast chargers every 50 miles—US unveils EV infrastructure plan</a>
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4241</guid><pubDate>Thu, 10 Feb 2022 20:21:32 +0000</pubDate></item><item><title>You're (Maybe) Gonna Need a Patent for That Woolly Mammoth</title><link>https://nsaneforums.com/news/general-news/youre-maybe-gonna-need-a-patent-for-that-woolly-mammoth-r4229/</link><description><![CDATA[<div>
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					<strong>Scientists are racing to bring extinct species back from the dead. But does a resurrected mammoth belong to nature, or us?</strong>
				</div>
			</div>

			<div data-testid="ContentHeaderLeadRailAnchor">
				 
			</div>
		</div>
	</header>
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<div data-attribute-verso-pattern="article-body">
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							<p>
								The mouse didn't look like much. It had the same red beady eyes and white fur as any other laboratory mouse. Sure, its DNA had been tweaked to make it ideal for testing anti-cancer drugs, but that wasn’t so unusual either. The year was 1988, and it had been more than a decade since researchers at the Salk Institute showed it was possible to create genetically modified mice by inserting viral DNA into mouse embryos. Plenty of other genetically modified animals would be created in the following decades, but none of them would prove as important—or controversial—as OncoMouse.
							</p>

							<p>
								 
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								What made OncoMouse remarkable was its paperwork. On April 12, 1988, the US Patent and Trademark Office <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://patents.google.com/patent/US4736866A/en"}' data-offer-url="https://patents.google.com/patent/US4736866A/en" href="https://patents.google.com/patent/US4736866A/en" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">issued a patent for it</a>—the first for any living animal. The patent turned a mouse—which had been modified to be more susceptible to cancer—into a legally protected invention, with a patent that prevented anyone else from making or selling mice with the same genetic tweaks. (Or, at least for the 20 or so years that most patents last.) The patent was granted to Harvard University, which passed on the exclusive license to the main funder of its research: DuPont. Soon, the chemical giant was printing <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://americanhistory.si.edu/collections/search/object/nmah_834201"}' data-offer-url="https://americanhistory.si.edu/collections/search/object/nmah_834201" href="https://americanhistory.si.edu/collections/search/object/nmah_834201" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">T-shirts with an OncoMouse</a> silhouette emblazoned across the chest, and selling researchers the new invention for $50 a mouse.
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								That patent changed science forever. After OncoMouse, scientists rushed to invent—and patent—other animals that would be useful in their research. Mostly this meant mice, but occasionally other species were patented too, as in the case of <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://patents.justia.com/patent/5183949"}' data-offer-url="https://patents.justia.com/patent/5183949" href="https://patents.justia.com/patent/5183949" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">rabbits</a> engineered to be susceptible to HIV infection. OncoMouse was used in countless breast cancer studies and helped <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smithsonian-institution/first-patented-animal-still-leading-way-cancer-research-180961149/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smithsonian-institution/first-patented-animal-still-leading-way-cancer-research-180961149/" href="https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smithsonian-institution/first-patented-animal-still-leading-way-cancer-research-180961149/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">researchers understand</a> the genetics behind human susceptibility to cancer.
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								But OncoMouse also raised an awkward question: Where do we draw the line between what belongs to humans and what belongs to nature? And if we could patent only animals that currently exist, what’s to stop us from patenting species that died out long ago? It’s a moral conundrum right out of <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.quotes.net/mquote/49962"}' data-offer-url="https://www.quotes.net/mquote/49962" href="https://www.quotes.net/mquote/49962" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">Jurassic Park</a>, but one that lawyers and scientists are now grappling with for real. Colossal—a startup <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://colossal.com/"}' data-offer-url="https://colossal.com/" href="https://colossal.com/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">cofounded by the Harvard geneticist George Church</a>—wants to resurrect a woolly mammoth within the next six years. Its CEO, Ben Lamm, is confident that a mammoth is patentable. But bringing back a species that last stomped the Earth 4,000 years ago raises all kinds of questions that scientists warn we’re not fully prepared for. Can someone really patent a mammoth? And if they can, should they?
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								Time to contend with these questions is running out. “There is an awful lot of stuff going on at the moment,” says Mike Bruford, a conservation biologist at Cardiff University who helped draft the International Union for Conservation of Nature’s <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://portals.iucn.org/library/sites/library/files/documents/Rep-2016-009.pdf"}' data-offer-url="https://portals.iucn.org/library/sites/library/files/documents/Rep-2016-009.pdf" href="https://portals.iucn.org/library/sites/library/files/documents/Rep-2016-009.pdf" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">guidelines around de-extinction</a>. Bruford is worried that most de-extinction work is being done by private companies and that scientists can’t be sure of their intentions. “The academic community and the conservation community are, generally speaking, peripheral in this,” he says. When it comes to deciding where—or if—de-extinct animals will be released into the wild, the legal status of those animals will matter an awful lot.
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								The science of de-extinction—bringing long-extinct species back into existence—is edging closer to possibility. In January 2000, the last living bucardo was killed by a fallen tree. The species of wild goat native to northern Spain had been pushed to the brink of extinction by hunting and was finally done in by a gust of wind.
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								It was an unceremonious end to a species, but the year before the last bucardo died, scientists in Spain had taken a small chunk of tissue from its ear in the hope that they could eventually <a href="https://www.wired.co.uk/article/natures-safe" rel="external nofollow">use the DNA within</a> to <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2013/03/the-10-minutes-when-scientists-brought-a-species-back-from-extinction/274118/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2013/03/the-10-minutes-when-scientists-brought-a-species-back-from-extinction/274118/" href="https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2013/03/the-10-minutes-when-scientists-brought-a-species-back-from-extinction/274118/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">bring the species back to life</a>. That’s exactly what they did in 2003, taking the bucardo’s DNA and putting it inside eggs that were then implanted inside other goat species, close living relatives. Of the 208 embryos, only <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://media.longnow.org/files/2/REVIVE/Therio%2071-2009%20Bucardo%20Cloning.pdf"}' data-offer-url="https://media.longnow.org/files/2/REVIVE/Therio%2071-2009%20Bucardo%20Cloning.pdf" href="https://media.longnow.org/files/2/REVIVE/Therio%2071-2009%20Bucardo%20Cloning.pdf" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">one made it to term</a>. For a brief moment, the bucardo was back. But then the kid started gasping for breath. Minutes later it was dead—an autopsy later revealed a lung defect common in cloned animals. The bucardo had gone from extinct to extremely endangered and then back to extinct again in a few short minutes.
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								Other attempts at cloning endangered species have been more successful. In 2020, scientists cloned a black-footed ferret for the first time. That clone—called Elizabeth Ann—is the genetic copy of a wild female called Willa who died in the 1980s. Once widespread throughout the Great Plains in the US, the black-footed ferret was thought to be extinct until a ranch dog helped scientists discover an 18-strong colony in Wyoming in 1981. Although there are now approximately <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.worldwildlife.org/species/black-footed-ferret"}' data-offer-url="https://www.worldwildlife.org/species/black-footed-ferret" href="https://www.worldwildlife.org/species/black-footed-ferret" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">370 black-footed ferrets</a> in the wild, the species is still extremely endangered, which is why conservation specialists are carefully searching for a mate for Elizabeth Ann.
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								It's extremely unlikely we’ll ever see a patent for Elizabeth Ann or other animals resurrected through cloning. Most legal systems make it impossible to patent things that occur in nature. You can’t patent an animal or plant simply because you found it first; you need to prove that you’ve invented something. Elizabeth Ann is—legally speaking—an obvious product of nature. Her DNA is a near-exact copy of Willa’s—she’s a duplication, not an invention. The scientists who cloned Dolly the sheep in 1996 hoped to secure a patent, but they were turned down for exactly this reason. “Dolly's genetic identity to her donor parent renders her unpatentable,” wrote a US Court of Appeals judge in 2013, concluding a long legal battle.
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								But cloning isn’t the only possible path to de-extinction. In September 2021, the startup Colossal <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/13/science/colossal-woolly-mammoth-DNA.html"}' data-offer-url="https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/13/science/colossal-woolly-mammoth-DNA.html" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/13/science/colossal-woolly-mammoth-DNA.html" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">launched with the announcement</a> that it had raised $15 million to bring back the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://colossal.com/mammoth/"}' data-offer-url="https://colossal.com/mammoth/" href="https://colossal.com/mammoth/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">woolly mammoth</a>. Although Colossal positions itself as a leader in de-extinction—its website has a whole page <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://colossal.com/de-extinction/"}' data-offer-url="https://colossal.com/de-extinction/" href="https://colossal.com/de-extinction/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">dedicated to the term</a>—the startup isn’t exactly resurrecting woolly mammoths. There isn’t a surviving mammoth genome that’s complete enough to implant directly into an egg cell, so cloning is out of the question. What Colossal’s scientists want to do instead is use their knowledge of the mammoth genome to edit the DNA of an Asian elephant so that it more closely resembles that of their ancient, hairier, cousins.
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								“We’re not de-extincting the mammoth. We’re de-extincting genes to essentially make Asian elephants cold-tolerant,” says Colossal CEO Ben Lamm. The end result would be an elephant-mammoth hybrid that Lamm describes as a “functional mammoth” or an “Arctic elephant.” Eventually Lamm wants to release the Arctic elephants into the Siberian tundra, where he hopes they will help recreate the ancient steppe ecosystem, restore grasslands, and help keep <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/can-bringing-back-mammoths-stop-climate-change-180969072/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/can-bringing-back-mammoths-stop-climate-change-180969072/" href="https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/can-bringing-back-mammoths-stop-climate-change-180969072/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">carbon locked in the permafrost</a>. (Whether this would actually happen or not is <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/nov/18/mammoth-cloning-wrong-save-endangered-elephants"}' data-offer-url="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/nov/18/mammoth-cloning-wrong-save-endangered-elephants" href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/nov/18/mammoth-cloning-wrong-save-endangered-elephants" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">up for debate</a>.)
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								Colossal has already sized up a spot for its functional mammoths. Pleistocene Park in the northeastern corner of Russia is a nature reserve maintained by the Russian ecologist <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/04/pleistocene-park/517779/"}' data-offer-url="https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/04/pleistocene-park/517779/" href="https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2017/04/pleistocene-park/517779/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">Sergey Zimonv and his son, Nikita</a>. The 50-square-mile stretch of tundra is being repopulated with yaks, horses, and bison that the Zimovs hope will uproot and trample away shrubs and trees, making way for the grasslands that covered the area during the Pleistocene Epoch, between 2.6 million and 11,700 years ago. A woolly mammoth—or at least an Asian elephant playing the role—would be the park’s crowning glory.
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								Despite the nod to Jurassic Park, Lamm says that his goal with Colossal isn’t to directly monetize the mammoths themselves, but to patent and license other technology the company develops along the way. For example, they might need to create giant artificial wombs to grow the mammoth-elephant hybrids, and that technology might help extremely premature human babies survive outside the body. Other techniques they develop for gene editing or storing animal DNA might be helpful for scientific research or conservation efforts. “I think you may get more value out of the technology than the resulting genomes,” Lamm says, although he’s not “closing the door” to patenting whole animals one day.
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								A project at the nonprofit Revive &amp; Restore, which helped clone the black-footed ferret, is using a similar gene-editing approach to Colossal, but this time to bring back the extinct passenger pigeon. In both of these cases, the aim isn’t to perfectly recreate the extinct species, but to create a hybrid animal that is close enough to the extinct one that it fits into the same ecological niche as its long-dead predecessor. Passenger pigeons may have once been the most numerous birds on the planet, says Ben Novak, a scientist who leads the passenger pigeon project at Revive &amp; Restore. Before they went extinct in 1914, the birds lived in dense flocks across the US and Canada, and their diet of seeds, fruit, and nuts helped build the forests of the northeastern US. Reintroducing the species—or one like it—to the area might help protect these fragile forest ecosystems.
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								A hybrid approach to de-extinction might be inventive enough to qualify for patent protection. Since mammoth-elephants have never existed in nature, they might not run afoul of the rules that exclude clones from patenting. One recent paper in the Journal of Law and the Biosciences noted that some legal experts are confident that de-extinct <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://academic.oup.com/jlb/article/7/1/lsaa017/5835678"}' data-offer-url="https://academic.oup.com/jlb/article/7/1/lsaa017/5835678" href="https://academic.oup.com/jlb/article/7/1/lsaa017/5835678" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">species can be patented</a>, at least in the US. (In the European Union, patents can be denied on moral grounds, much to the chagrin of the scientists behind a <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.wipo.int/wipo_magazine/en/2006/03/article_0006.html#:~:text=The%20patent%20in%20question%2C%20filed,baldness%20and%20wool%20production%20techniques."}' data-offer-url="https://www.wipo.int/wipo_magazine/en/2006/03/article_0006.html#:~:text=The%20patent%20in%20question%2C%20filed,baldness%20and%20wool%20production%20techniques." href="https://www.wipo.int/wipo_magazine/en/2006/03/article_0006.html#:~:text=The%20patent%20in%20question%2C%20filed,baldness%20and%20wool%20production%20techniques." rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">balding mouse</a> created to test hair loss treatments.) The authors point to a few reasons why companies might want to patent de-extinct animals: to entice investors with the promise of future licensing revenue, to stop other companies from working on the same animals, and to make sure they have exclusive rights to display the animal in a zoo or park.
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								But Andrew Torrance, a professor of law at the University of Kansas, isn’t so sure that US law will allow it. He points to a legal battle over some patents that would have given a genetic testing firm the exclusive rights to isolate and sequence the human BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes. Mutations in these genes can dramatically increase the risk of breast and ovarian cancer. In 2013, the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/12pdf/12-398_1b7d.pdf"}' data-offer-url="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/12pdf/12-398_1b7d.pdf" href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/12pdf/12-398_1b7d.pdf" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">US Supreme Court</a> ruled that since these two genes occur naturally, they aren’t eligible for patenting. A court may decide that editing an Asian elephant to be more like a mammoth is also recreating something that existed in nature—albeit something that died out thousands of years ago. “Anything you can show was found, or is found in a genome, that will not be patentable in the US and largely unpatentable in other countries as well,” says Torrance, who in 2015 went to Newcastle, England to <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://longnow.org/ideas/02016/02/04/is-the-great-auk-a-candidate-for-de-extinction/"}' data-offer-url="https://longnow.org/ideas/02016/02/04/is-the-great-auk-a-candidate-for-de-extinction/" href="https://longnow.org/ideas/02016/02/04/is-the-great-auk-a-candidate-for-de-extinction/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">join a conference</a> discussing the possibility of bringing back the flightless, penguin-like Great Auk, which has been extinct since 1844.
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								And while we still don’t know if de-extinction will be possible, if it works, it may be profitable. In 2013, the same year that the Supreme Court ruled on the breast cancer genes, three lawyers <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://law.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/carlin.pdf"}' data-offer-url="https://law.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/carlin.pdf" href="https://law.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/carlin.pdf" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">wrote a lengthy</a> paper arguing that the patent question would have to be addressed sooner or later. De-extinction companies might want exclusive rights to showcase the animals in a purpose-built park, à la Jurassic Park. A company might resurrect the Cuban Macaw or Carolina Parakeet and hawk the birds to parrot fanciers eager to pay a premium for rare birds. Where there is money to be made, the urge to patent is unlikely to be far away. Eventually, Torrance says, the law will have to adapt to these new situations—however far-fetched they seem to us now.
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								There is, of course, a bigger question: Not just if we can patent revived species, but whether we should. That could end up having a lot to do with what—or whom—de-extinction is for. De-extinction could be seen as a recompense for the hundreds of species humans have <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/1-million-species-under-threat-extinction-because-humans-report-finds-ncna1002046"}' data-offer-url="https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/1-million-species-under-threat-extinction-because-humans-report-finds-ncna1002046" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/1-million-species-under-threat-extinction-because-humans-report-finds-ncna1002046" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">partly or wholly driven to extinction</a>. Novak thinks that any species wiped out by humans should be seen as a legitimate candidate for de-extinction—as long as there is still a place left where they can live naturally. For a conservationist like Bruford, the important question is really whether there is a niche in an ecosystem that needs to be filled and whether a resurrected species is the right option there.
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								Sometimes that niche may have disappeared altogether. It has been thousands of years since woolly mammoths roamed in Siberia, after all. And rather than bringing back extinct species, another way conservationists could fill an ecosystem gap is by introducing a similar species from a different area. For example, Bruford is involved in a project bringing the Aldabra giant tortoise to an island near Mauritius to fill in the gap left behind by the extinct Mauritian tortoise. Others have proposed introducing <a href="https://www.wired.com/story/this-evolutionary-gift-may-protect-coral-from-climate-change/" rel="external nofollow">heat-resistant species of coral</a> to areas endangered by climate change.
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								If we did bring extinct animals back into modern ecosystems, we may end up running into other serious problems, says Bruford. Mammoths are huge wide-ranging animals that might be hard to contain, and we don’t know if the diseases that may have kept mammoth populations in check still exist today. “It’s not like Jurassic Park, when it’s all on some little fictional island in the middle of the Caribbean. These are big countries with big borders which are porous,” he says.
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								There’s also the not-insignificant question of how de-extinct animals would be classified. Would a gene-edited Asian elephant be considered a mammoth, an elephant, or something in-between? Would it go immediately on the endangered species list? Or—because it had never existed before—would it technically be an invasive species and prohibited from most areas?
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								For Novak, although he supports de-extinction, he doesn’t think that the industry should exist for profit, or that a resurrected species should ever be patented. “We are a byproduct of the incredible story of this planet, and it’s an incredible amount of arrogance to believe that we could have some kind of legal right over an entire population of organisms,” he says.
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								Most of his scientific publications are available online for people to access for free, and those that aren’t he gives away to anyone who asks. If he manages to resurrect the passenger pigeons, Novak says he’ll never sell one. In fact, Revive &amp; Restore had run a mammoth de-extinction project for nine years without attracting enough funding to really get the project underway, Novak says. The nonprofit originally intended to work toward repopulating the tundra in Eurasia and North America with elephant-mammoth hybrids, and <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/"}' data-offer-url="https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/" href="https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">its webpage says it</a> brokered the introduction between geneticist <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/"}' data-offer-url="https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/" href="https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">George Church and Sergey Zimonv</a> before eventually handing the <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/current-project-now-with-colossal/"}' data-offer-url="https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/current-project-now-with-colossal/" href="https://reviverestore.org/projects/woolly-mammoth/current-project-now-with-colossal/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">project over to Colossal.</a>
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								The revamped, now for-profit project <a data-event-click='{"element":"ExternalLink","outgoingURL":"https://colossal.com/company/"}' data-offer-url="https://colossal.com/company/" href="https://colossal.com/company/" rel="external nofollow" target="_blank">quickly attracted funding</a> from Breyer Capital, Tony Robbins, the Winklevoss brothers, and filmmaker Thomas Tull, whose production firm, incidentally, was behind Jurassic World. “The fact of the matter is that [de-extinction] doesn't attract money. It only attracted money when the idea of profit was brought to the table,” Novak says.
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								But without private investment, de-extinction might never get off the ground, argues Lamm. “I mean, it’s expensive, from a process perspective,” he says. Colossal will have to raise even more money to keep the project going, and Lamm says that the technologies the startup develops along the way will hopefully benefit health care, research, and conservation. “The de-extinction technology stack can not only be leveraged for species like mammoths, but also for small populations like the northern white rhinos and others,” he says.
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								Patents—or at least profit—might just be the price conservationists have to pay. And although he vehemently rejects the for-profit de-extinction model, even Novak has an idea he wants to patent. It’s for a genetically modified pigeon that would be much easier to gene-edit than existing birds, and he thinks it could save researchers a lot of time. If his idea works, and he’s granted a patent, he’d like to channel the funds from his invention back into his nonprofit de-extinction work. “We have to make money. The whole world revolves around money,” he says. “So I’d like to try and get a little piece of my pie too.”
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<p>
	<a href="https://www.wired.com/story/de-extinction-patents/" rel="external nofollow">You're (Maybe) Gonna Need a Patent for That Woolly Mammoth</a>
</p>

<p>
	 
</p>

<p>
	(May require free registration to view)
</p>
]]></description><guid isPermaLink="false">4229</guid><pubDate>Wed, 09 Feb 2022 20:01:38 +0000</pubDate></item></channel></rss>
